2000 White Map & 2000-2008 White Swing/Trend Map

[Nym90]

Obama's margin over Gore coming from increasing numbers of Hispanics and Asians on the voter rolls, swings among them, and increased turnout among Hispanics and Blacks alone?
Yeah, sorry. Day I buy that is the day I buy Bering Straits beachfront property.

Now, a White swing barely within the Margin of Error of that... that's perfectly reasonable.

Maybe there was actually a reverse Bradley effect in exit polls with white voters in 2008? I know some pollsters had theorized this may occur.

[Nym90]

Wow, 26% of Alabama whites voted for Gore?

Makes me wonder how much Clinton got.

Probably about 35 percent or so, I'd guess, just from looking at the county maps and such.

If Clinton had gotten the black turnout that Obama got, he could well have won the state. Same thing for Mississippi, which he only lost by 5 points in 1996.