Pragmatic Conservative
1184AZ
YaBB God
Posts: 4,735
Political Matrix
E: 3.00, S: -0.41
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« on: April 22, 2017, 06:48:23 PM » |
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24% Le Pen
23% Fillon
21% Macron
18% Melenchon
8% Hamon
6% Other
Going to be bold and say the following, Macron as a third party candidate may lack the same GOTV infrastructure as the established candidates do (this is a bit of an issue as his supporter are probably not the most likely to vote). I suspect their will be a coming home effect for Fillon as Conservatives choose to vote for the mainstream conservative despite major controversies surrounding Fillon. Le Pen voters are the most locked in so she should hit her polling numbers, though has less room to grow then the others.
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