PPP: Utah: Well, well, Mr. Brower (lol Palin)

[King]

http://publicpolicypolling.blogspot.com/2011/07/breaking-news-obama-will-not-win-utah.html

Pres. Obama
Approve 32%
Disapprove 62%

Matchups:

Romney 63%
Obama 31%

Huntsman 63%
Obama 23%

Cain 43%
Obama 36%

Pawlenty 45%
Obama 34%

Bachmann 49%
Obama 35%

...













wait for it....













.....................





















Palin 43%
Obama 41%

[King]

I'm thinking that if by some chance Palin becomes the nominee and something happens in the next year to make him actually popular instead of the mid-40s approvals he has now, she would lose all 50 states.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

If Republicans want to win Utah, they must nominate Romney.

[Tender Branson]

Obama vs. Romney (NC now a tie, UT & IA go to Romney):

[Tender Branson]

The most interesting part of the poll is that if all the Mormons would leave Utah, Utah would become California 2.0

[TheGlobalizer]

Huntsman has the widest margin.  EXACTLY.

[Mehmentum]

lol Palin.

[bgwah]

The most interesting part of the poll is that if all the Mormons would leave Utah, Utah would become California 2.0

I played around with the 2008 exit polls once... "Other" (mostly Mormons) were approximately 4/5 McCain, while everyone else was 4/5 Obama. It's an extremely polarized state.

[Lief 🗽]

rofl, I guess pbrower had a point.

[pbrower2a]

So much for my prediction that President Obama would win against any Republican other than Romney. It's a virtual tie between President Obama and Sarah Palin... which, in view of a 32% approval rating suggests how unready Sarah Palin is to be President. She would lose the state if nominated -- if many Romney supporters stay home.
  
Obama vs. Romney

Obama vs. Bachmann

Obama vs. Palin

Obama vs. Pawlenty

Favorite Sons:


Obama vs. local favorite sons

DeMint -- South Carolina
Santorum -- Pennsylvania
Romney -- Michigan and New Hampshire
Pawlenty -- Minnesota
Thune -- South Dakota
Gingrich -- Georgia
Christie -- New Jersey
Bachmann -- Minnesota (but I am showing her in Iowa instead because of Pawlenty)
Palin -- Arizona (she is allegedly moving there) and Alaska
Perry -- Texas
Cain -- Georgia (but I will show him in North Carolina)
Ron Paul -- Texas (but I will show him in Oklahoma for this purpose
Daniels -- Indiana (if the state is ever polled)  
Johnson -- New Mexico
McCotter -- Michigan (but I will show him in Ohio for this purpose)
Huntsman -- Utah (but I show him in Idaho)

[HAnnA MArin County]

Somebody PLEASE tell me where we sign the Draft Sarah Palin for 2012 petition.

[Niemeyerite]

LoL LoL LoL LoL, Pbrower wasn't wrong (I actually thought he could be right, and that's why I didn't say nothing) when he said Utah could go for Obama. Palin leading by 2%? hjahahahahaha..
the question right now is: if she's nominated (won't happen, unfortunately), will she have better or worse results than Goldwatter?

[Swedish Rainbow Capitalist Cheese]

I'm thinking that if by some chance Palin becomes the nominee and something happens in the next year to make him actually popular instead of the mid-40s approvals he has now, she would lose all 50 states.

She'd still win Oklahoma and Alabama

[Nichlemn]

The most interesting part of the poll is that if all the Mormons would leave Utah, Utah would become California 2.0

I played around with the 2008 exit polls once... "Other" (mostly Mormons) were approximately 4/5 McCain, while everyone else was 4/5 Obama. It's an extremely polarized state.

I'm guessing non-Mormons are Democratic mostly because Mormons are so Republican. If the Mormon population collapsed, the state would probably end up voting like Colorado.

[The Professor]

The number of Mormons by percent in Utah has been on the decline and losing about .5% every year. In 2004, the percentage of Mormons in Utah was 62%. In 2007, it was 60%. Now, in 2011 it is at about 58%. According to an article in the Salt Lake City Tribune, Mormons should be under 50% by 2030.

The bad news for Mormons doesn't stop there. Many of the younger Mormons are not true Mormons at all. They are "Jack Mormons". Jack Mormons drink Jack Daniels (Even on Sundays) and smoke reefer.

[California8429]

ahahahaha

[Eraserhead]

Pawlenty's numbers are pretty fun too. Nobody likes and/or cares about that guy, huh?

[Heimdal]

Pawlenty's numbers are pretty fun too. Nobody likes and/or cares about that guy, huh?

[Mr. Morden]

Huntsman's favorability / unfavorability among people who identify as....

very liberal 63 / 27%
somewhat liberal 69 / 27%
moderate 70 / 20%
somewhat conservative 51 / 37%
very conservative 30 / 59%
Democrats 69 / 25%
Republicans 44 / 44%
Independents 61 / 29%

When has any Republican gotten #s like this, anywhere?

[Simfan34]

Well, it's clear to me now. Democrats oppose abortion, support a flat tax, and the Ryan reforms. Ok, so  now Huntsman ought to be a Democrat.

[TheGlobalizer]

Huntsman's favorability / unfavorability among people who identify as....

very liberal 63 / 27%
somewhat liberal 69 / 27%
moderate 70 / 20%
somewhat conservative 51 / 37%
very conservative 30 / 59%
Democrats 69 / 25%
Republicans 44 / 44%
Independents 61 / 29%

When has any Republican gotten #s like this, anywhere?

Utah is truly a unique demographic animal.  Not surprising numbers for a centrist Republican from a brutally conservative state.  (My first impression of Utah: stopping in a Burger King and seeing posters of Jesus on all four walls.)

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Olene Walker was more popular amongst Democrats than Republicans. And, sadly, much more popular amongst the general populace than the Republican convention voters who kicked her to the curb despite 80% approvals.