Recent Posts

Show posts from buddies only

[Helicopters]

Hmm

Helicopters

Bell AH-1
Bell 212
Bell 206
Bell 205   
Bell 214   
Mil Mi-17
Boeing CH-47 Chinook      

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Islamic_Republic_of_Iran_Army_Aviation?wprov=sfti1#Current_aircraft_inventory

Yep, he 100% dead so uh goodbye Mr. Raisi
So what will be the geopolitical consequences, my prediction is that Iran will immediately blame Israel even if it was obvious israel did not do this and cause the situation in the middle east to escalate a lot.

Will they blame Israel or Azerbaijan? Or both?

With Russia’s state capture of Georgia and Armenia’s turn to the west, I wouldn’t put it above Putin and Ass-ahollah to try to come up with an excuse to go after the southern Caucasus and cut Europe off from the gas supply

I feel like even if Putin try to push Iran to blame Azerbaijan, Iran will just blame Israel and probably attack them or some other stupid thing
that little airstrike fight between iran and israel was just a month ago and they still itching to strike each other more so generally Israel is going to get the blame for this.

Arsenal did their part to push Manchester City  to the title, but they fell short by 2 points. Manchester City beat West Ham 3-1 and Arsenal win 2-1 over Everton, good enough for 115 Charges FC to win 4 straight PL championships.

 We came up short this season, but next season will hopefully be our time to win the Premier League title. The 5 dropped points to Fulham from winning positions, home loss to West Ham, Newcastle away VAR robbery, and losses to Aston Villa doomed us.

Yep, he 100% dead so uh goodbye Mr. Raisi
So what will be the geopolitical consequences, my prediction is that Iran will immediately blame Israel even if it was obvious israel did not do this and cause the situation in the middle east to escalate a lot.

Will they blame Israel or Azerbaijan? Or both?

With Russia’s state capture of Georgia and Armenia’s turn to the west, I wouldn’t put it above Putin and Ass-ahollah to try to come up with an excuse to go after the southern Caucasus and cut Europe off from the gas supply

FL is gone. Based on the rust belt polls from a few weeks ago this seems to confirm that the easiest path does in fact lie through those 3 states (MI/WI/PA)

That gets Biden only to 269. He would need NE-2 to win.

Can't believe I am saying this but for the first time in the History of the United States of America
269-269 seems legitimately in play this November.

You heard it here first: The EC is going to be a 269-269 split and Republicans are going to lose the House this November, but they are going to elect Trump president as their final act in power. It would just be too fitting.

The new house is seated before the electoral college convenes. However, they are still likely to control more state delegations (although the math is harder with Alaska in Democratic hands.)

Republicans currently control exactly 26 delegations (green = tied, which would mean no vote cast in a contingent election for president without bipartisan support for one candidate).



However, since it's the next congress that votes, we have to account for the likely changes.  Democrats have quite a good chance at flipping the delegation in AZ, but Republicans are sure to break the tie and pick up NC on the new maps in any situation where the national PV is remotely close.  Democrats control the PA delegation by one vote, and they have a representative in a 2X Trump seat who will have a tough race in this environment.  Democrats also control the MI delegation by 1 vote, but all their seats are pretty safe.  The best Dem pickup opportunities after AZ are probably flipping the western MT seat to tie or trying to flip the other eastern seat and create a tie in Kansas, both extreme longshots if the presidential election is close enough to be 269/269.  

In short, the NC remap ended any realistic chance for Dems to block a Trump reelection in a 12 Amendment vote.

MN ISN'T A TOSSUP

[He was the legitimate head of state]

I know there will be champagne corks going off in Washington and Tel Aviv, but this is very sad. He was the legitimate head of state on a diplomatic mission. And the world has only Iran's restraint to thank for the fact that WWIII didn't break out after the wanton attack on its embassy last month.

Let’s not pretend that the President of the Islamic Republic of Iran is the head of anything really.

Don't nitpick. That's just his title. Head of state, head of government. We all know he's not the most powerful but like you said, he was a leading candidate to successor and this event could have impacts on Iranian internal politics as well. It remains to be seen what.

Oh I’m sure the old theocrats will find another stooge to be the next Supreme Leader, if it’s instability you’re worried about.

I'd be happy if they were all lined up against a wall and shot. Provided it meant change in a positive direction. This isn't that. It's just a tragedy.

Sorry but someone who personally authorized executing 5,000 political prisoners in 1988 dying is not a tragedy.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1988_executions_of_Iranian_political_prisoners

Rest in Piss

Who knows whether the actual result will bear out what the state polls are telling us, but Biden's comparative resilience in Rust Belt polling is the most interesting trend in US politics.

I don't know whether this has more to do with who feels that Biden is delivering for them (and who doesn't), Trump's appeal having shifted toward Sun Belt demographics since 2016, or changes to the states themselves.

That Trump will be running as a Florida Man, rather than as a New Yorker, is the cherry on top of it all. Instead of Queens vs. Manhattan, it's Palm Beach vs. Rehoboth Beach.

It has very little to do with what state Trump is from it has to do with inflation, there is a reason why Trump is ahead of Biden rents are too high and unemployment is up. People got lazy again and stop working. I have a roommate that's given up on finding a job

I would add a lack of sexual activity to reasons why some men have little to no respect for women. My wife and I engage in healthy, explosive lovemaking on a daily basis, after even the most grueling day at the office. You'll pardon me if I don't elaborate but I have no wish to share the most intimate details of my marriage with a crass and vulgar readership. If that disappoints you, so be it.

He's not dead guys, he has simply entered Occultation.

Now this is quality posting. The rest of you need to aspire to this.