What makes states trend right?

[5280]

Notice how some states (California) trend left and stay like that. What will take a Democratic state trend Republican?

[5280]

Currently none while Virginia, Georgia and Arizona trend more toward the Democratic party.

Stay on topic, this is about states that COULD trend right, not left.

[5280]

Will the GOP realign back toward their roots during the Eisenhower and Abraham eras in the near future?

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How long will this alignment last with democratic 'majorities' 2038? 2044? Im sure fatigue will set in after long stretches of one party control, unless you want the US to resemble a country like China or Vietnam.

[5280]

How long will this alignment last with democratic 'majorities' 2038? 2044? Im sure fatigue will set in after long stretches of one party control, unless you want the US to resemble a country like China or Vietnam.

The majority of them have lasted approximately nine election cycles.


1800 to 1828: Democratic-Republican (won all 7 of these cycles)

1832 to 1856: Democratic (won 6 of 8 cycles)

1860 to 1892: Republican (won 7 of 9 cycles)

1896 to 1928: Republican (won 7 of 9 cycles)

1932 to 1964: Democratic (won 7 of 9 cycles)

1968 to 2004: Republican (won 7 of 10 cycles)


In each of the past cases, the majority party won elections over the minority party at least with 70 percent of the cycles. Average between the 1800 to 2004: 41 divided by 52 = 78.84 percent. The other guide, looking at realignments that went 7-for-9 for the majority party, accounts for 77.77 percent.

So according to the election cycles, around 2032 or 2036, the solid blue states will start trending right or the south will trend towards the democrats.

[5280]

Dude, Minnesota's suburbs are not trending right.

We have like two GOP members who is in the suburbs. There used to be a lot more.

Twin Cities suburbanites are among the richest and best-educated in the country, you think they are attracted to the knuckle-dragging hillbillies from the south?

The "new" GOP has utterly repulsed Minnesotans.

Who the hell gives a sh**t? That doesn't make them godlike or better than other people.