I still don't see the need to keep Texas as not safe.
IDK Texas rn is what a Likely R state would look like. A bunch of factors involved here, most would point to Cruz winning, but there is a nonzero (if small) chance of a D pickup. Cruz will probably win. That's a Likely R if I've ever seen one
The fact that Texas' Voter ID law was just thrown through the window by the courts widens that nonzero chance, as well.
Texas is now R+8.
By comparison, Arizona is R+5, Ohio is R+3, so is North Carolina.
On the other side, Indiana and Missouri are R+9.
If it were any Republican other than Cruz, it should be Safe R. The fact he's picked up a credible, well-funded D challenge who is very likely to lose based on Texas's partisanship makes Likely R the safest bet. It probably goes to Safe R in 2018.