Does Rubio have a path to the nomination if he wins in Florida?

[Ronnie]

I think many of us focus so much on the possibility of Rubio losing Florida that we forget about what might happen if he wins.  One thing that would certainly change is the media's recent doom and gloom about his candidacy.  They would probably call him "the comeback kid," and note that he was trailing by double digits in the polls just two weeks prior.  Would this change in tone as a result of the win give him enough momentum to win in any upcoming states?

[yankeesfan]

No.  He's damaged goods, even in a contested convention.  There's 0% chance he gets the nomination.

[Nyvin]

I really doubt it.

It would take major shenanigans at a brokered convention for him to win at this point, even with a Florida win.

[ag]

Yes. In the convention.

[Suburbia]

I think it depends on the Republican convention and if it is a brokered convention.

[IceSpear]

Yes. In the convention.

[James Bond 007]

I voted no since even at this point, he'd pretty much have to thread the eye of a needle.

[Meclazine for Israel]

Depends.

If he wins comfortably, then he can say he is the:

(a) Best republican to beat Hillary
(b) Momentum candidate
(c) Candidate with the best states yet to come.

Option (c) will mean he will stay in the race.

[Lyin' Steve]

He'd need to be winning states like New York, California, Arizona, etc. really cutting into Trump country.
People are sick of him.  They want him gone.  That won't change if he defies expectations by winning Florida and walks out on stage to give the exact same speech he gave when he got third in Iowa.

[Gustaf]

Of course he would have. Problem is that his chance of winning it is like 5%.

[Maxwell]

He has no states to win after Florida besides Utah.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

If Rubio wins Florida and Kasich wins Ohio, a brokered convention is inevitable, so a ton of people would still have a chance.

[Badger]

If Kasich loses Ohio and there's still a brokered convention , he not only has a path but is actually the front-runner. Even if Kasich also wins Ohio he's still near even odds to be chosen as the Establishment candidate over Kasich. Up to this point he at least has the right to say he's won outside his home state (pending MI's results tonight). At worst he's even odds to wind up as the Veep. Nominee.

All this assumes he can after Florida periodically, if not consistently , place respectable 2nd and 3rd place finishes picking up delegates along the way, which is also helpful towards creating a brokered convention scenario.

[Fuzzy Bear]

Rubio would have to win Florida.

Kasich would have to win Ohio.

Cruz would have to falter to the point where Rubio would become the "true conservative" in the race.

It could happen.  It probably won't.

[Stranger in a strange land]

He has about a 5% chance of winning at a brokered convention, and if he has 300-400 delegates, that could be enough to get him a VP slot to set him up to run in 2020 or 2024, so yes.

[ElectionsGuy]

Not really, but Florida is 99 delegates, so it would up his total significantly, but not enough to have a realistic path. He would need to absolutely dominate post-Florida, which is unlikely considering the present trends.

[Maxwell]

The problem is Rubio doesn't really have a natural constituency beyond National Review writers and very conservative Atlas users.

[RightBehind]

With how Rubio is polling right now it would take the comeback of the century if he got the nomination.