New Tradesports rankings

[minionofmidas]

State odds for Democrats:

DC 95.0

Huh? What? Why so low?

[minionofmidas]

Ron Paul not even listed? Ouch.

[minionofmidas]

Wow, is McCain going to let another person surpass him?

It happened briefly earlier in the week and will probably happen again permanently when Thompson announces.

I think he meant: another one apart from Thompson, ie Romney.

[minionofmidas]

Perhaps the Republicans are desperate.

"Perhaps"? Wtf?

[minionofmidas]

Congress "authorization" was not really a declaration of war so much as it was a decision that we believe there is reason to suspect that war might become necessary and as such, we will give the authority to our president to make that decision based on the facts at the time, without having to deal with an emergency resolution that might not occur in a timely manner.

In theory, that is true. However, I think that all the legislators knew prior to the vote, that, in practice, they were voting on whether to go to war with Iraq (unless they're all incredibly naive). I personally believe that Clinton's vote was politically motivated because the case for going to war was popular at the time.

Well, obviously.

Which is actually a very worrying indicator regarding her political instincts - it didn't take a genius, not really, to figure out that "yea" would eventually come to be viewed as the wrong vote on that.

[minionofmidas]

Your username is a month off. I was born in December 1978.

[minionofmidas]

Wow. These things have changed since I last checked. And seem to be depicting reality much more closely now.

[minionofmidas]

Not sure, but Paul actually DOES have a better chance of winning the GOP nomination than Gore has of winning the Dem nomination (not that that's saying much.)

give me a scenario in which Paul wins the Republican nomination.

All the other GOP candidates are caught playing Larry Craig with each other. Or die in plane crashes.

Yeah, nothing realistic, but at least Paul is on the ballot, while Gore is not. Basically we're talking about a 0.000000000001% chance vs. a 0% chance.

even if every single candidate did that, either a) one would win, or b) some establishment type would win the nomination by hopping in late.  Paul really has nothing in common with 98% of Republican primary voters.

Paul can't win.  the scenario for Gore winning is easy: he runs.  however unlikely that may be, it's far more likely than the GOP turning into some gay sex mafia, which is the scenario you gave me for Paul.

What do you mean by "turning into"?

[minionofmidas]

I THINK it's more to do with what's meant by "all along". The bubble burst more quickly here than on tradesports.

[minionofmidas]

What's Giuliani staying in the race for? To split the moderate vote and thus prevent John McCain?