PA Gubernatorial Race 2006

[Moooooo]

If Casey runs for senate I think Rendell will win easily.  To much money, time and energy will be focused on keeping Santorums U.S. Senate seat and the GOP gubernatorial candidate will be left out in the cold.

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Actually, now that I think about it.  If Casey runs for U.S. senate he may take alot of money away from Rendells re-election bid and possibly cost him the election.  Man, I wish I lived in PA.  The 2006 campaigns and elections up there are gonna' be great.

[Moooooo]

Does Swann have any political record or experience to run off of?  Other than his name he seems like an pretty weak candidate to me.

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Rendell comes off as a strong campaigner and candidate in general to me.  I really cannot see him losing re-election.  I have no clue why  But I just get that feeling.

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Someone said this to me the other day and I think it is the best way to address the 2006 gubernatorial race in PA.

Its not a question of whether Rendell will win or not.  Its a question of how much he will win by. 

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Awwwww, come on, dan. I know you saw my last couple of posts. What's going on? That extremely popular Ed Rendell has 45% saying "four more years" but 43% aren't going along with it. While I think the poll if probably off on the approval rating, it's likely that Eddie is only in the mid 40s when it comes to his approval.

Now keep telling yourself he's a lock. "Solid Dem." Good one!

From what I have gathered and what you have said previous threads, Phil.  Rendell is a strong campaigner, good public speaker, and fairly charismatic.  Bascially he is at his best on the campaign trail.  From now until election day I can only see his numbers going up.  That isnt a good thing for the GOP candidates.

[Moooooo]

Team 88 is up and running!

http://lynnswannteam88.com/

I didnt see a list of Swann's political accomplishments.  Where can I find them?

[Moooooo]

Unless the bottem falls out of the GOP campaign, they can't both be elected.

Why not?

I personally think Casey is a fairly weak candidate.  Once the name recognition part of the campaign wears off, and both candidates get down to the issues, Santorum will probably pull away. 

But Im still curious as to why you think both cannot win in the same election year?

[Moooooo]

He ran the Bush 2004 campaign in Western PA and generated the best numbers that a Republican candidate has had in that area since the turn of the 20th century.

Ok... From that I have gathered that he is a great campaign manager.  What about political accomplishments?  In other words, what has he done for PA lately?

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What is Scranton like?  Conservative, Moderate, or Liberal?

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Why doesnt Toomey make a run for governor?  Right now hes just collection dust on the sidelines.

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Regardless of his re-elect and approval numbers I don't see him losing to any of the potential candidates.  None seem very impressive or strong.  There has got to be someone else.  Can Tom Ridge run again?

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I think his numbers look rather solid.  If he runs a good campaign he should be alright.  None of his possible opponents are breaking 40%.

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Closer than I thought.

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From the SV Poll:

9. Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell's job performance?

Approve 46%
Disapprove 40%
Undecided 14%

10. If the Republican primary were today, whom would you vote for? (Republicans only)

Lynn Swann 39%
Bill Scranton 30%
Jeff Piccola 10%
Undecided 21%

11. If the election for Governor were held today, and the choice was between Ed Rendell, the Democrat and Lynn Swann, the Republican, whom would you vote for?

Rendell 48%
Swann 43%
Undecided 9%

12. If the election for Governor were held today, and the choice was between Ed Rendell, the Democrat and Bill Scranton, the Republican, whom would you vote for?

Rendell 47%
Scranton 42%
Undecided 11%

13. If the election for Governor were held today, and the choice was between Ed Rendell, the Democrat and Jeff Piccola, the Republican, whom would you vote for?

Rendell 50%
Piccola 34%
Undecided 16%

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New Keystone Poll:

Primary:

Swann 25%
Picolla 5%
Scranton 18%

General:

Rendell 46%
Picolla 37%

Rendell 51%
Scranton 34%

Rendell 53%
Swann 33%

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SV Poll:

Primary:

Lynn Swann 38%
Bill Scranton 31%
Jeff Piccola 15%
Undecided 16%

General:

Ed Rendell 46%
Lynn Swann 41%
Undecided 13%

Ed Rendell 47%
Bill Scranton 43%
Undecided 10%

Ed Rendell 48%
Jeff Piccola 37%
Undecided 15%

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ed Rendell's job performance?

Approve 47%
Disapprove 42%
Undecided 11%

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rofl.

[Moooooo]

I like Swann.  Probably wouldnt vote for him, but he seems like a genuinely down to earth, good guy.

My only question is, can he talk issues, policy, and debate with a professional politician like Rendell?