The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 147089 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #275 on: May 20, 2014, 08:31:10 PM »
« edited: May 20, 2014, 08:33:03 PM by Wulfric »

33% in now in GA, Kingston at a 30-29 lead. Handel at 19. No one's calling it yet, but it really looks like a Kingston-Perdue runoff.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #276 on: May 20, 2014, 08:31:45 PM »

Bye-Bye Marjorie. (Sorry, someone had to Tongue). In AR Griffin won the LG nomination outright, Hill's romping in CD2 and a razor-thin battle in CD4.
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Miles
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« Reply #277 on: May 20, 2014, 08:32:16 PM »

37% for GA

Perdue leads 30.2% to Kingston's 29.2%. Handel up to 19%.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #278 on: May 20, 2014, 08:33:12 PM »

37% for GA

Perdue leads 30.2% to Kingston's 29.2%. Handel up to 19%.
Where are you getting that?  I have Politico on here and they only have 33% in.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #279 on: May 20, 2014, 08:34:34 PM »

AP calls PA-13 for Boyle. Metro Atlanta's still out, Cohn thinks Kingston edges Handel for the 2nd slot.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #280 on: May 20, 2014, 08:35:23 PM »

AP calls PA-13 for Boyle. Metro Atlanta's still out, Cohn thinks Kingston edges Handel for the 2nd slot.
Atlanta's just starting to come in, and Handel appears strong there at the moment.
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Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
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« Reply #281 on: May 20, 2014, 08:35:59 PM »

The Atlanta Journal-Constitution has a map of the GA-Republican Senate results here.  The regional variations are stark.  Perdue is running first or second virtually everywhere - so he should almost certainly make the runoff.

Thank you for the link.  Are there any other results map links out there?  I thought Politico used to have them but now they only have the results-in map.
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Miles
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« Reply #282 on: May 20, 2014, 08:36:03 PM »

^ Dammit Rogue, you're beating me by a few seconds to post every AP call Tongue
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #283 on: May 20, 2014, 08:38:25 PM »

Wolf's really popular in PA, leading Schwartz 57-19 with 37% in.

35% now in GA, Kingston leading 30-30. Handel at 19. Kingston ahead by just 180 votes now.

Politico has a results map for GA: politico.com/2014-election/results/map/senate/georgia/#.U3wDSoZBlBE
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #284 on: May 20, 2014, 08:39:49 PM »

Politico has 35.3% in from Georgia.  Kingston leads Perdue by only 180 votes.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #285 on: May 20, 2014, 08:40:57 PM »

Perdue takes the lead!

37% in now, Perdue leading by just under 800 votes but it's still 30-30.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #286 on: May 20, 2014, 08:42:40 PM »

I suspect Handel will keep gaining.  She appears to be strong around Atlanta, and that alone could get her into the runoff.  Whether she will or not is another issue, but you heard it from me first.
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« Reply #287 on: May 20, 2014, 08:45:58 PM »

^ Yeah, per AJC, Gwinnett is still not reporting, and we need to see the results there to determine if Atlanta is enough for Handel.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #288 on: May 20, 2014, 08:48:01 PM »

Handel needs to gain 30k votes or so on Kingston. Looks like she will get at least 1/3 of that from Fulton alone. I don't think the rest is going to be enough to get her into the run-off - I think she falls a few points short.
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cinyc
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« Reply #289 on: May 20, 2014, 08:48:15 PM »

^ Yeah, per AJC, Gwinnett is still not reporting, and we need to see the results there to determine if Atlanta is enough for Handel.

14/156 of Gwinnett is reporting.  Handel leads Purdue 34-31, with Kingston pulling 16.  I think Kingston is doing just well enough in Metro Atlanta to keep him in second.  We'll see.
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Miles
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« Reply #290 on: May 20, 2014, 08:49:35 PM »

Less than 10% in for AR-04 and its still close, but Moll is doing well in Texarkana and the district's newer counties.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #291 on: May 20, 2014, 08:50:07 PM »

Politico has 9% in from Gwinett, Handel leading 34-31 over Perdue. Kingston at 16.

Statewide is at 43% now, Perdue leading 30-29 with Handel at 19. Handel trailing Kingston by nearly 30,000 votes. That's really hard to make up in a primary that already has close to half of the votes in.
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« Reply #292 on: May 20, 2014, 08:51:47 PM »

^ Yeah, per AJC, Gwinnett is still not reporting, and we need to see the results there to determine if Atlanta is enough for Handel.

14/156 of Gwinnett is reporting.  Handel leads Purdue 34-31, with Kingston pulling 16.  I think Kingston is doing just well enough in Metro Atlanta to keep him in second.  We'll see.

Kingston might be close to maxing out, percentage-wise. I think he still has the edge above Handel, but it could be very close, and Handel could still snatch second place.
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Miles
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« Reply #293 on: May 20, 2014, 08:52:43 PM »

PA-09 still not called, but 40% in and Shuster leads 52-40.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #294 on: May 20, 2014, 08:54:26 PM »

Up to 46% now, still Perdue lead of 30-29. Handel still at 19 but her deficit to Kingston is going up right now, not down. Handel's winning in Gwinett and Fulton but it doesn't look like it will be enough to get her into the runoff.
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cinyc
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« Reply #295 on: May 20, 2014, 08:55:15 PM »

Kingston might be close to maxing out, percentage-wise. I think he still has the edge above Handel, but it could be very close, and Handel could still snatch second place.

Kingston really cleaned up in South Georgia.  He's leading in some counties with 70% of the vote.  Some of those counties are currently only showing absentee/early votes.  Granted, those counties are smaller than the Metro Atlanta big 4, but they greatly increase Kingston's overall margin. 

I haven't done any sophisticated math, but Kingston should have this, likely taking second.  Handel's margin over Kingston in the Metro Atlanta counties simply isn't large enough.
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« Reply #296 on: May 20, 2014, 08:55:54 PM »

GA-Sen (Ace of Spades):

Perdue: 30%
Kingston: 28%
Handel: 19%
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #297 on: May 20, 2014, 09:00:04 PM »

Wolf is winning overwhelmly in PA, 58-18 over Schwartz with 62% in. McCord is at 17, Schwartz may actually end up in 3rd when it's all said and done. Meanwhile the AR Tea Party failed terribly; Hutchinson is still leading Coleman 71-28, and we're up to 14% now.

Georgia is at 47%, still 30-29-19 with Perdue ahead.

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Miles
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« Reply #298 on: May 20, 2014, 09:00:22 PM »

For GA-10, Mike Collins, the guy with the badass truck commercial, made the runoff with Jody Hice.
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« Reply #299 on: May 20, 2014, 09:01:25 PM »

Kingston might be close to maxing out, percentage-wise. I think he still has the edge above Handel, but it could be very close, and Handel could still snatch second place.

Kingston really cleaned up in South Georgia.  He's leading in some counties with 70% of the vote.  Some of those counties are currently only showing absentee/early votes.  Granted, those counties are smaller than the Metro Atlanta big 4, but they greatly increase Kingston's overall margin. 

I haven't done any sophisticated math, but Kingston should have this, likely taking second.  Handel's margin over Kingston in the Metro Atlanta counties simply isn't large enough.

I think Handel's biggest problem tonight is that Perdue ran great everywhere in North Georgia, even in the Metro Atlanta counties, something that she might not be able to afford.
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