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No. Mount Rushmore's a tourist trap anyway.

https://twitter.com/AFUStratCom/status/1794226855987577312
Russia’s losses hit 500k

Disagree.

Trump probably would've won either if Covid wasn't a factor, or if he had handled it like a leader rather than going around saying crazy things.

I don't think there's some miracle that is required for him to win this year, only for Biden to fail to course correct, fail to get ahold of his image, continue to double down in favor of Netanyahu, and for the perception of the economy being weak and the dollar being weaker to continue into October.

Frankly, those factors don't seem unrealistic as of right now.

No, I'm fine with Delaware having everything named after him.

Some on this board here have discussed the idea of there being "2019 nostalgia", which might enable a Trump win.

I think there is actually a degree of this out there in the real world, too. I have nostalgia for 2019 but I recgonize that the economy of the Trump era was built by Obama, Trump just rode the wave of it, but your average voter doesn't realize that.

Back in 2016 however, despite a healthy economy, and despite Hillary being the First Lady during the bulk of the 90s, there was no similar nostalgia for the 90s at that time (ironically, there is massive 90s nostalgia now) that could've helped her pull ahead to victory.

My question is, why?

Having 2019 nostalgia now would be like having 2011 nostalgia in 2016 and that certainly wasn't there.

https://twitter.com/ChamberVoice/status/1794321611035947338

With their dwindling ability to expand their base, as well as ignoring younger voting blocks (completing losing the Millennials and not doing much to attract Gen Z), as I've been thinking for the last decade, everything has to go right and Democrats have to literally self-destruct for the GOP to win.

One could make the argument that in 2020 (outside of Covid), Trump may have won again given the economy at that time, although far from certain.

Does anyone just have "that feeling" that the stars are aligning again this year? Everything from the economy, inflation, Biden's age, the wars abroad, student protests, voter apathy, Harris, cost of living, etc. is just making a lot of people desperate, angry and vulnerable.

I've been saying for several months now (as have others on here) that the Democrats (like it or not), MUST use abortion as their driving force to ensure women and young voters show up to vote. It worked in 2022, it worked in "pocket", one-off elections since, including 2023, and I believe it's the key for 2024.

There's been signs in the last month that talking about Dobbs again re-energized some and moved the polls towards Biden.

Thoughts? are the stars just aligning, too early to tell, or total nonsense?

in 2022, Gop won the "national vote" by 3 (I think) so abortion not so effective (but I agree that it gives them a few points) and, at the presidential level, with much larger turnout, it won't be enough to save Biden

A big tragedy in all of this is that Bibi has been synonymous with Israel for the majority of many of our lives. It's why many people assume Israel will always act like it has under his disastrous leadership - untrue - and why people feel compelled to defend things like his failed, intractable, scorched-earth war strategy.

Israel’s government was terrible far before Bibi or Likud were in power, as a simple understanding of Israeli history would tell you.

Is your argument that the situation hasn't changed for the worse regarding settlements in the West Bank since Netanyahu came to power? I suppose Israel's government is always going to seem terrible to people who find the country illegitimate, if that describes your beliefs.

The Israeli government, since 1967, has shown little commitment to a long term solution, and seems to be banking on Western support to do whatever it wants in the mean time.

Have you heard of Yitzhak Rabin, what he achieved and why he was assassinated? If not, I agree that one’s understanding of Israeli history can be described as “simple.”

Nah.

No