US House Redistricting: Indiana (user search)
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  US House Redistricting: Indiana (search mode)
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Author Topic: US House Redistricting: Indiana  (Read 28111 times)
timothyinMD
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Posts: 438


« on: April 20, 2011, 08:37:25 PM »

This is a very clean map that accurately reflects Indiana.

When calling some of these seats "marginal" by using 2008 Pres numbers, you're all forgetting something:  2012 Obama isn't going to come anywhere close to the 49% he got in Indiana last time.

Those 7 seats are in the bag for Repubs
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timothyinMD
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 438


« Reply #1 on: April 20, 2011, 09:29:33 PM »

This is a very clean map that accurately reflects Indiana.

When calling some of these seats "marginal" by using 2008 Pres numbers, you're all forgetting something:  2012 Obama isn't going to come anywhere close to the 49% he got in Indiana last time.

Those 7 seats are in the bag for Repubs

I think its hard to judge Indiana based on any recent presidential results including those from 2004 and 2000.  Obama was the first Democrat to make an honest effort there in a while but the McCain campaign was also caught off guard by an all-out offensive in a state that had voted reliably for Republicans in the previous 10 presidential elections.  I think it is definitely possible that Obama wins in Indiana again, especially if he increases his share of the national popular vote.  He's not just going to roll over and hand the state to the Republicans even though that sometimes appears to be his governing "strategy."

Considering you're a Democrat, I can see why you're optimistic about it, but don't bet on it.

Obama wont increase his nat'l popular vote, and he's going to get trounced in Indiana. 
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