GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread (user search)
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  GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: GA-06 and SC-05 election day & results thread  (Read 70629 times)
Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« on: June 20, 2017, 08:15:46 PM »

Associated Press calls SC-5 for Ralph Norman.  What a big, beautiful win for Republians!!  
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #1 on: June 20, 2017, 08:17:54 PM »

Georgia will swing toward Republicans from Trump's 2016 number.  So much for that Democrat wave.  
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #2 on: June 20, 2017, 08:23:45 PM »

If Democrats think they're going to be taking the House in 2018, this is a district they'll likely need to win.  This is supposed to be their brand new "winning coalition" of educated whites.  Epic fail, IF they have in fact lost.
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #3 on: June 20, 2017, 08:25:24 PM »

If Democrats think they're going to be taking the House in 2018, this is a district they'll likely need to win.  This is supposed to be their brand new "winning coalition" of educated whites.  Epic fail.

No its not this would be a dems having a 50 seat majority seat

False
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #4 on: June 20, 2017, 08:31:01 PM »

13,000 raw vote lead.  Sad!
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #5 on: June 20, 2017, 08:37:16 PM »

If Democrats think they're going to be taking the House in 2018, this is a district they'll likely need to win.  This is supposed to be their brand new "winning coalition" of educated whites.  Epic fail.

No its not this would be a dems having a 50 seat majority seat

False

LOL ok well your posts in this thread so far have been insubstansive a so not sure why i continue to bother to reply but if i was head of the DCCC this would be on the extra seat list to take the house.  Actually i think dems need to focus on the rust belt and parts of Appalachia for 2018, in particular WV-2,3 and I think its KY-6 (the one in eastern kentucky dems had til 2012).

The seat has an R+8 PVI and the SC seat is actually imo much more alarming for the GOP considering it should not have swing much at all it should be an inelastic rural southern seat unless im missing some unique faceat of this district.

This district was Trump +1 in 2016.  The rust belt is gone. Those seats aren't swinging back.  Educated college whites are the Democrats new great white hope, and they've let them down this time.  The path to 2016 isn't going to be the same for Democrats that it was in 2008.
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #6 on: June 20, 2017, 08:40:02 PM »

If Democrats think they're going to be taking the House in 2018, this is a district they'll likely need to win.  This is supposed to be their brand new "winning coalition" of educated whites.  Epic fail.

No its not this would be a dems having a 50 seat majority seat

False

LOL ok well your posts in this thread so far have been insubstansive a so not sure why i continue to bother to reply but if i was head of the DCCC this would be on the extra seat list to take the house.  Actually i think dems need to focus on the rust belt and parts of Appalachia for 2018, in particular WV-2,3 and I think its KY-6 (the one in eastern kentucky dems had til 2012).

The seat has an R+8 PVI and the SC seat is actually imo much more alarming for the GOP considering it should not have swing much at all it should be an inelastic rural southern seat unless im missing some unique faceat of this district.

This district was Trump +1 in 2016.  The rust belt is gone. Those seats aren't swinging back.  Educated college whites are the Democrats new great white hope, and they've let them down this time.  The path to 2016 isn't going to be the same for Democrats that it was in 2008.

Yep, I remember how Indiana became a safe Democratic state after Obama's 2008 victory.

Even after 2008, the long term trends were painfully obvious.  Nobody seriously expected battleground Indiana(!) going into 2012.  Not comparable at all...
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #7 on: June 20, 2017, 08:41:23 PM »

Democrats had to nationalize the race, that was their best play.  This is a Republican district.  Tying Handel to Trump was the right move, just wasn't enough.
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #8 on: June 20, 2017, 08:41:53 PM »

Democrats had to nationalize the race, that was their best play.  This is a Republican district.  Tying Handel to Trump was the right move, just wasn't enough.
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #9 on: June 20, 2017, 08:44:39 PM »

How does Trafalgar Group do it?

They got the Early Vote essentially correct (Ossoff +3), and the final margin looks to be dead on (Handel +2) at the moment.

Like I said after November, Trafalgar is the GOLD STANDARD.
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #10 on: June 20, 2017, 08:51:01 PM »

If Democrats are going to complain about Gerrymandering, they should have tried to be a little less horrible last time redistricting came around.  They shoved something down the American people's throats that they absolutely did not want, and now they pay the price.  Too bad.
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #11 on: June 20, 2017, 09:20:50 PM »

Maybe we should've just said "Fck it" and ran a Berniecrat.
In the suburbs?  LOL.

The cuckgressive lost despite running what was by all accounts a great campaign.

He lost because he's to the left of the district...  that doesn't mean run a far left candidate.
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #12 on: June 20, 2017, 09:23:10 PM »

Ossoff ran the tried and true New Democrat "Identity Politics" campaign.  Instead of talking about real issues, he just focused on checking off the minority boxes and getting his womyn buzzwords into cute soundbites.  It's the reason Hillary lost and it's the reason Democrats will continue to lose.
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #13 on: June 20, 2017, 09:25:11 PM »

Ossoff ran the tried and true New Democrat "Identity Politics" campaign.  Instead of talking about real issues, he just focused on checking off the minority boxes and getting his womyn buzzwords into cute soundbites.  It's the reason Hillary lost and it's the reason Democrats will continue to lose.

He talked about Healthcare the most.

Try again.

False.  He ran a campaign of asthetics.  People don't care how many selfis with a hjab you have on your myspace.
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #14 on: June 20, 2017, 09:33:04 PM »

Countdown until Democrats win an election!
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #15 on: June 20, 2017, 09:40:04 PM »

If Democrats actually ran reasonable, mainstream campaigns, they would have won this in a rout.  You all are so deluded to think that Ossoff didn't run a far left campaign.  He staked out issues far outside the mainstream in a district Trump WON, and yet you are angry he wasn't socialist enough?  Does 2+2 =5?
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,595
United States


« Reply #16 on: June 20, 2017, 09:57:06 PM »

High turnout is good for Republicans.  When the voters stay home, Democrats steal seats.
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