British Local Elections, May 2024

[Oryxslayer]

Lots of the important stuff should be coming soon. Nuneaton, Dudley, East Midlands, York & North Yorkshire, Hastings, MK, Tamworth.

With Hyndburn done we can see it's not just a win but a sweep for Labour.

NE Mayor is a Labour gain/hold 185K for Labour, 126K for Driscoll. Tories close to Reform.

[Torrain]

Bad year for Festus Akinbusoye. Loses Mid Beds to Labour in one of the Tories worst by-election results ever, and then loses his day-job as Bedfordshire PCC six months later. It’s unclear whether he’ll even get nominated for the new Mid-Beds seat.

[TheTide]

The previously noted rumours about the London Mayoralty being in play are persisting today.

E.g.

https://twitter.com/KevinASchofield/status/1786365188905566345

[AustralianSwingVoter]

Castle point is now a Tory free zone between the localist PIP (majority) and the Caveny Island Independence (wants their own council) group.

Canvey Island Independent Party v The People's Independent Party is the next realignment.

[Blair]

Bad year for Festus Akinbusoye. Loses Mid Beds to Labour in one of the Tories worst by-election results ever, and then loses his day-job as Bedfordshire PCC six months later. It’s unclear whether he’ll even get nominated for the new Mid-Beds seat.

It's weird the PCC results get so little coverage; well not weird everyone hates them and no-one knows what they do, but still the Tories losing especially when the incumbent was very popular! And in Bedfordshire

[Torrain]

Bad year for Festus Akinbusoye. Loses Mid Beds to Labour in one of the Tories worst by-election results ever, and then loses his day-job as Bedfordshire PCC six months later. It’s unclear whether he’ll even get nominated for the new Mid-Beds seat.

It's weird the PCC results get so little coverage; well not weird everyone hates them and no-one knows what they do, but still the Tories losing especially when the incumbent was very popular! And in Bedfordshire

Having spent a few years in the Bedfordshire-Cambridgeshire area as a kid, the very idea of them being this red is still taking some getting used to!

[Duke of York]

The previously noted rumours about the London Mayoralty being in play are persisting today.

E.g.

https://twitter.com/KevinASchofield/status/1786365188905566345

starting to think a massive upset will happen here. The campaign run against Khan was awful. It might give pause to certain groups running for office in the future.

[Torrain]

Labour have won the York and North Yorkshire mayoralty.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

Driscoll has conceded in a chat with journalists. Reportedly he immediately pivoted to talking about running again in four years time.

I wonder how much money is left over from the crowdfunding.

[warandwar]

https://www.asianimage.co.uk/news/24266733.galloway-rolls-town-back-independents-blackburn-rally/

https://www.lancashiretelegraph.co.uk/news/24297560.pictures-independents-jubilant-taking-labour-seats/

Some articles on the Blackburn independents. Blackburn had a small history of Asian activism - here's a photo of their Asian Youth Organization from the early 80s. Great hair cuts.

[Torrain]

https://www.asianimage.co.uk/news/24266733.galloway-rolls-town-back-independents-blackburn-rally/

https://www.lancashiretelegraph.co.uk/news/24297560.pictures-independents-jubilant-taking-labour-seats/

Some articles on the Blackburn independents. Blackburn had a small history of Asian activism - here's a photo of their Asian Youth Organization from the early 80s. Great hair cuts.

The 2005 General Election was a pretty staid affair (Blair ambling towards a third victory), but one of the only things the BBC panel get excited about in the wee hours is that chance that South Asian voters could put Jack Straw under pressure in the Blackburn constituency.

[Niemeyerite]

So what if conservatives finally win London? It'll still be considered a horrible election for them?

[Torrain]

Driscoll has conceded in a chat with journalists. Reportedly he immediately pivoted to talking about running again in four years time.

I wonder how much money is left over from the crowdfunding.

Is it too late for him to make a vanity run in a Newcastle or Tyneside constituency?

[Duke of York]

So what if conservatives finally win London? It'll still be considered a horrible election for them?

I would say it wouldn't. Starmer should resign if they lose London.

[Continential]

How is Galloway’s outfit doing?

[Torrain]

How is Galloway’s outfit doing?

Only won 2 seats in Rochdale - Labour maintain their majority there.

[warandwar]

How is Galloway’s outfit doing?

Only won 2 seats in Rochdale - Labour maintain their majority there.

I get the sense these folks do better as Community Independents vs being tied to a Party

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Driscoll has conceded in a chat with journalists. Reportedly he immediately pivoted to talking about running again in four years time.

At that rate local gov changes in this country, the role might not even exist in four years time.

[EastAnglianLefty]

After the Tees Valley mayoral election  a Labour source went on twitter and said Labour don't expect to take the West Midlands cause of Gaza Defectors. But then another source did the same thing and said that source was bullocks and did not speak for the inside mood.

TL:DR: West Midlands doesn't count till tomorrow, and Labour are trying to gauge their support there based on other areas.

IMO, this is all for nothing cause Reform have a candidate here. If Reform do as well in the Black Country as they did in the NE then Labour can lose many more votes than thought. In fact, one of the public polls showed this.

This is completely backwards. There's no particular reason to believe that Reform will do well it the West Midlands mayoralty, but if they did then that would be extremely good news for Labour.

[Oryxslayer]

After the Tees Valley mayoral election  a Labour source went on twitter and said Labour don't expect to take the West Midlands cause of Gaza Defectors. But then another source did the same thing and said that source was bullocks and did not speak for the inside mood.

TL:DR: West Midlands doesn't count till tomorrow, and Labour are trying to gauge their support there based on other areas.

IMO, this is all for nothing cause Reform have a candidate here. If Reform do as well in the Black Country as they did in the NE then Labour can lose many more votes than thought. In fact, one of the public polls showed this.

This is completely backwards. There's no particular reason to believe that Reform will do well it the West Midlands mayoralty, but if they did then that would be extremely good news for Labour.

You're interpreting wrong, but perhaps that is my fault for going fast. By labour losing more votes, I mean that Labour can lose more votes to Greens or others, and still win. Cause Reform would pull street down further than polling.

[Oryxslayer]

Labour failed to gain the Humberside P&C. Electorally that is a poor result, the numbers look like Lib-Dems in Hull (who likely vote Labour nationally) though votes Lib-dem for P&C as well - hurting Labour.


MF'ing Labour sweep in Adur. THIRTEEN seats won to the Tories ONE.

[Niemeyerite]

When will we have results from London?

[CumbrianLefty]

NE Mayor is a Labour gain/hold 185K for Labour, 126K for Driscoll. Tories close to Reform.

Driscoll even lost narrowly in Newcastle, where he had been very confident of topping the poll.

[Logical]

Would be funny if the Gaza rebellion and Khan losing (still quite unlikely imo) induces Sunak into calling a summer election.

[CumbrianLefty]

There have been a few council byelection results declared in London.

They suggest neither Labour collapse or a massive Tory surge.

Especially since they were last fought in 2022, when Labour carried London as a whole easily. Surely a Hall win is going to require major split ticket voting in her favour, as well as all the other things.

But stranger things have happened.