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Damn, good job counting so many Districts. I'm surprised it could genuinely be this tight. Would this be a first?

Also, imagine if the Dennis the Menace scenario happens and the House is tied.

Good riddance. Even if his replacement is Justice, I'm just glad Manchin will be gone in January.

 As morbid as this sounds unless a soon to be Sen. Justice loses weight.... I really don't think he'll be there for long.

[Meanwhile I continue to be saddened and annoyed at what this man is doing to his families reputation]

A jury of my peers, selected partially by my own lawyers, reviewing the evidence of the things I said I did, found me guilty of financial crimes, something I have also said I did

I'M THE VICTIM!

The verdict can be correct and legitimate and the case be politically motivated. I happen to agree that this one is and it takes away from the seriousness and significance that the other 3 need to be viewed as.

Meanwhile I continue to be saddened and annoyed at what this man is doing to his families reputation and the stain it has the potential to put on the legacy of his father and uncle.

It sounds wild but RFK JR is a bold example of the butterfly effect. I’m convinced if any of the famous members of the family were still alive - he wouldn’t be doing this.

You know Ted Kennedy literally killed a woman?

Hochul pardoning Trump won’t increase national unity (and until Trump is gone, national unity won’t increase meaningfully because his cult appeal hinders against rationale thought) especially with other charges against him still pending. It’ll just be spun as belief that he’s innocent and increase pressure for other charges to be dropped.

You don't say!

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/1796554046540484664

looking at the crosstabs, Biden winning NYC by only 24 points is unfathomable.

Which just shows that polling in New York is cooked right now

Probably, but New York is the most unique locality in the United States. There’s really nothing like the patchwork of ethnic enclaves in Brooklyn and Queens elsewhere. Swings in those places could have no bearing on the rest of the country. Right now it’s mostly mirroring Biden’s decline with non-Whites, just accentuated. Siena and Emerson are both relatively high quality but Siena especially has been finding acute weakness with non-Whites in its partnership with NYT.

The thing is, the NY polls are showing a weakness with White voters too that basically no other poll is showing. That's why I'm particularly suspect. So Biden is holding up with white voters virtually everywhere in the country - but not New York? Seems odd

The White vote in Downstate is unique too. Disproportionately Italian, Jewish (especially Conservative/Orthodox), Arab, Eastern European. There's very few WASPs or even that many Irish suburbanites Downstate. That's where Democrats have been making their gains in the Trump era and the trends in suburban NYC have been more muted because of the lack of those groups. The Philly suburbs are a lot more WASPy and Irish and they have swung quickly left since 2012, and so have North Westchester and SW Connecticut, which have a reputation for being WASPy.

 There is no crisis, all of these constitutional questions, breaking of norms, lawsuits about how a current or former President can be prosecuted all have one thing in common, Trump is continuously criminal. He cheats at business, his taxes, he steals money from his campaign, has no separation between his personal business and government business. The problem is Trump. Why doesn't anybody on the new say this, plainly. They treat him still with this weird legitimacy when he is quite simply a run of the mill crook.

However, again, like same with Manchin- why are we doing this today? Why would we risk even seconds of the news being off of the Trump verdict?

[Chief Justice Roberts declines a meeting with Senate Democrats]

Chief Justice Roberts declines a meeting with Senate Democrats

Chief Justice John Roberts has declined an invitation to meet with top Senate Democrats over judicial ethics, citing “separation of powers concerns.”

His letter to Sens. Dick Durbin and Sheldon Whitehouse, the chair and senior Democrat on the Senate Judiciary Committee, comes a day after Justice Samuel Alito declined to recuse himself from two Jan. 6-related cases despite calls to do so after news reports said politically controversial flags were flown outside Alito’s properties.

Following the revelations about Alito, Durbin and Whitehouse invited Roberts to meet with them.

“I must respectfully decline your request for a meeting,” Roberts wrote. He said that “apart from ceremonial events, only on rare occasions in our Nation’s history has a sitting Chief Justice met with legislators, even in a public setting (such as a Committee hearing) with members of both major political parties present.”

https://www.npr.org/2024/05/30/g-s1-1870/chief-justice-roberts-declines-a-meeting-with-senate-democrats

Trump Cheers On Alito For Refusing To Step Away From Jan. 6 Cases
Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito is under fire after his homes were seen with two flags linked to election conspiracy theorists.

Donald Trump on Wednesday applauded Justice Samuel Alito for rejecting calls to recuse himself from Supreme Court cases involving the former president and participants in the Jan. 6, 2021, riot in Washington.

“Congratulations to United States Supreme Court Justice Samuel Alito for showing the INTELLIGENCE, COURAGE, and ‘GUTS’ to refuse stepping aside from making a decision on anything January 6th related,” Trump posted on social media.

“All U.S. Judges, Justices, and Leaders should have such GRIT,” added Trump, the GOP’s presumptive nominee for president this year.

Earlier on Wednesday, Alito had told members of Congress that their demands for him to step aside from certain cases were without merit, writing that he’s “duty-bound to reject your recusal request.”

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-alito-recuse-himself_n_6657728ce4b0644fd94f3db5

We all knew this Supreme Court was Trump's abject bitch, but it's nice to have unreserved confirmation.

Half the country either disagrees or doesn't know/no opinion. And less than half of independents agree. Also asked whether the trial was far - 47% said yes, the rest either no or don't know/no opinion. Independents were at 42% fair. Based on this poll, clearly the country is not unified around this verdict.

I expect the election to be decided by voters who think he is guilty, but also that the process was political.

Namely, low-trust voters are inclined to believe everyone is a corrupt liar.

So believing Trump is a crook and Bragg a partisan hack is both the populist and enlightened centrist position. Which means it is what a lot of swing-voters will hear. Not least because all the pundits who trashed this case need to cover their earlier commentary.