Anyone checked out the Sky News AV calculator yet?
I must be doing something wrong, because on the not entirely unreasonable premisses that 2/3rds of Liberal Democrats would second preference the Conservatives and that about half of the conservative voters would return that favour; I get results like this:
LAB:
53% and 285 seats
CON: 31% and
307 seatsLD: 6% and 31 seats
I know that this isn't meant to predict a 2015 election, but just adjusting the 2010 numbers a bitshould result in reasonable results, no?
Then again, maybe this is what would happen, no way of knowing, really.