Odds Rubio drops out before Florida
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  Odds Rubio drops out before Florida
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Poll
Question: Rubio has looked totally defeated in every tv appearance since Super Tuesday. What are the odds he sees the writing on the wall and drops out before Florida, to salvage a potentially bright political future?
#1
0-10%
 
#2
11-20%
 
#3
21-30%
 
#4
31-40%
 
#5
41-50%
 
#6
51-60%
 
#7
61-70%
 
#8
71-80%
 
#9
81-90%
 
#10
91-100%
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 63

Author Topic: Odds Rubio drops out before Florida  (Read 2059 times)
daveosupremo
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« on: March 09, 2016, 12:47:39 AM »

I suspect he'll call it quits before Florida, unless there's a big shift in polling between now and Tuesday. 61-70%
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1 on: March 09, 2016, 12:49:40 AM »

One thing I can see happening, if not in the next week then eventually, is Cruz naming Rubio as his VP.  That would make things really interesting.
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win win
dxu8888
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« Reply #2 on: March 09, 2016, 12:50:27 AM »

I think his donors will make him stay in it to MESS WITH TRUMP.
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win win
dxu8888
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« Reply #3 on: March 09, 2016, 12:54:19 AM »

I think his donors will make him stay in it to MESS WITH TRUMP.

Rubio staying in isn't doing anything but helping Trump.

He will take some delegates from Trump on the offchance he wins a state here or there (including FL, a state like hawaii or utah? ) . The goal for the establishment is to prevent Trump to gain a majority of delegates so they can screw him at the convention.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #4 on: March 09, 2016, 12:55:02 AM »

It's too late now. It would be transparent that he dropped out just to not be embarrassed by losing FL. He might as well stick it out.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #5 on: March 09, 2016, 12:55:44 AM »

John Edwards 2016 is basically over - he just needs to come to terms with it.

The Tampa Bay Times had a brutal editorial that raked young Rubio/Edwards over the coals. He ain't winnin' Florida.
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Higgs
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« Reply #6 on: March 09, 2016, 12:57:26 AM »

Lol that ain't happening
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Mercenary
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« Reply #7 on: March 09, 2016, 12:58:36 AM »

Even just two weeks ago I would have said for sure he stays in until Florida. Now, I am not sure.
As pointed out his dropping out would be pretty transparent, still this is an electorate that is choosing Trump as their #1 so I am not sure they'd be able to even figure that out.
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Orser67
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« Reply #8 on: March 09, 2016, 01:02:16 AM »

0%. People will mostly forget if he loses Florida. They won't forget if he drops out of the race right before Florida votes.
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Famous Mortimer
WillipsBrighton
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« Reply #9 on: March 09, 2016, 01:08:26 AM »

John Edwards 2016 is basically over - he just needs to come to terms with it.

The Tampa Bay Times had a brutal editorial that raked young Rubio/Edwards over the coals. He ain't winnin' Florida.

Edwards comparison is very apt. Like with Edwards, I think his staff may very well revolt against him if he doesn't drop out on his own.
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #10 on: March 09, 2016, 01:16:59 AM »

The odds greatly depend on whether or not he wins Hawaii.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #11 on: March 09, 2016, 01:25:20 AM »

0%. People will mostly forget if he loses Florida. They won't forget if he drops out of the race right before Florida votes.

Especially the folks that have already voted early for him.
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Joe Biden is your president. Deal with it.
diskymike44
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« Reply #12 on: March 09, 2016, 02:41:22 AM »

Rubio drops out Wednesday morning after losing Florida.
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win win
dxu8888
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« Reply #13 on: March 09, 2016, 02:42:30 AM »

I'm personally hoping he wouldn't drop out...
so I'd have the satisfaction to watch Lil Marco go down in his own state.
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justfollowingtheelections
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« Reply #14 on: March 09, 2016, 02:56:02 AM »

I suspect he'll call it quits before Florida, unless there's a big shift in polling between now and Tuesday. 61-70%

He won't save face by dropping out before Florida.  It will just make him look like a p***y.  He's better off waiting until the 15th and if he loses, he can drop out then.
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MK
Mike Keller
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« Reply #15 on: March 09, 2016, 02:59:40 AM »

He should.   Do you really wanna risk having trump clowning you on natl tv which you know he will do.
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Maxwell
mah519
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« Reply #16 on: March 09, 2016, 03:04:01 AM »

He should.   Do you really wanna risk having trump clowning you on natl tv which you know he will do.

oh god I want to see that. There is nothing more in the world I want to see.
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President Johnson
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« Reply #17 on: March 09, 2016, 05:32:57 AM »

He won't get out before.
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Mr. Morden
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« Reply #18 on: March 09, 2016, 05:54:04 AM »

I think his donors will make him stay in it to MESS WITH TRUMP.

Rubio staying in isn't doing anything but helping Trump.

He will take some delegates from Trump on the offchance he wins a state here or there (including FL, a state like hawaii or utah? ) .

I don't see it that way at all.  Rubio staying in the race longer will end up giving Trump more delegates, IMHO.  That's because the polling shows that Rubio's voters by and large don't like Trump.  Or at least, they're more amenable to switching to Kasich and Cruz, should Rubio drop out.  Rubio staying in will give Trump more plurality victories and since we're now switching to the phase of the calendar when many states are WTA by congressional district (if not WTA statewide), plurality victories are all he needs.
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dax00
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« Reply #19 on: March 09, 2016, 06:42:21 AM »

There's not much more hurt he can take, after how much of his hand Trump has forced. That said, sitting on a respectable pile of delegates, I don't suspect he'll be going out. But he's the most sensible of the GOP candidates, so I put my bet on (31-40%).
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #20 on: March 09, 2016, 06:50:25 AM »

He already took all that humiliation, he might as well stick to the bitter end and go down fighting.
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standwrand
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« Reply #21 on: March 09, 2016, 08:22:58 AM »

Trump said he'll pick Rubio as his VP if he steps out before FL, so maybe Marquito will drop out
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NHI
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« Reply #22 on: March 09, 2016, 08:32:02 AM »

His ego won't allow him to drop off, before FL.

I agree with the John Edwards comparison...he is 2016's Edwards -- classic!
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