IN-DePauw University/Howey Politics: Obama down 9 in first Indiana poll (user search)
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  IN-DePauw University/Howey Politics: Obama down 9 in first Indiana poll (search mode)
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Author Topic: IN-DePauw University/Howey Politics: Obama down 9 in first Indiana poll  (Read 3517 times)
tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65
« on: April 05, 2012, 12:33:18 PM »
Indiana is one of the most Republican states by partisan identification (and also there's the standard caveat about crosstabs).
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65
« Reply #1 on: April 05, 2012, 12:44:58 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on April 05, 2012, 12:39:11 PM
Quote from: I cannot imagine power as a thing negative and not positive. on April 05, 2012, 12:33:18 PM
Indiana is one of the most Republican states by partisan identification (and also there's the standard caveat about crosstabs).

In 2008, Obama won IN Independents by 11 in a R+5 sample.

And now he's winning Independents by about 13, yet trailing by 9 overall.

I'm trying to calculate what kind of sample they might have used here ...

In 2004 Indiana was R+14 by partisan identification.  2008 was obviously an anomaly, and now we have a reversion to the mean.
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