I'd give Swann better than 50% odds. Republicans are fantastic at getting non-politician notables to run (i.e. Arnold), and the Democrats need to improve on that now that John Glenn is retired.
And the fact that Rendell isn't very popular anymore helps the GOP here.
If I had a nickel for every time you said that...
You'd be a very rich man, I know. But Dan, it's the truth and the Dems don't want to admit it. Hey I have no problem if you think Rendell wil cruise into a second term. In fact, I hope the PA Democratic party has a unanimous agreement and believes the same. Only better for us.
The Republican party knows their chances are low. That's why they gave Swann the go-ahead.
What's with you and this "The Republican party knows their chances are low" stuff? How are their chances low? That's all I ever hear from you. Sure Rendell has the advantage of being the incumbent but look at this incumbent's approval ratings. They'd throw in a "sacrificial lamb" if Rendell had 60% approval ratings. That certainly isn't the case. The PA GOP is going to keep interest in this Gubernatorial race.
I've already explained my reasoning...we don't know Rendell's true approval ratings and no Governor has ever been ousted.