Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET)  (Read 69202 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,192
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: June 07, 2016, 12:40:40 PM »
« edited: June 07, 2016, 01:43:15 PM by Tender Branson »

My predictions:

CA: 52-47 Clinton
NJ: 60-40 Clinton
NM: 58-42 Clinton
MT: 51-48 Sanders
SD: 54-46 Clinton
ND: 56-44 Sanders

Updated NJ, NM and SD to 100% - because only Clinton and Sanders are left on the ballot.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,192
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2016, 12:43:03 PM »

My predictions:

CA: 52-47 Clinton
NJ: 60-39 Clinton
NM: 58-41 Clinton
MT: 51-48 Sanders
SD: 54-45 Clinton
ND: 56-44 Sanders

He's going to win MT/ND by way more than that. Unless you're assuming many of his voters don't turn out due to the call. But in that case CA would be a much bigger win.

We'll see ...
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,192
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #2 on: June 07, 2016, 01:41:50 PM »

In NJ, NM and SD there are actually only Hillary and Bernie left on the ballot.

So, all your predictions should add up to 100%.

In CA and ND (caucus) there are still many other candidates to select and in MT there's "no preference".

https://interactives.ap.org/2016/election-night/?date=0607
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,192
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #3 on: June 29, 2016, 12:39:04 AM »

What ?

Hillary was at 60-40 or something in CA on election night and could end at only 53-46 ?

There must have been a ton of ballots left to be counted ...
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