The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)

[Vega]

Next up is Connecticut, Minnesota, and Wisconsin Primaries, plus South Dakota Runoffs, on the 12th.

Are there any notable races in those states?

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Next up is Connecticut, Minnesota, and Wisconsin Primaries, plus South Dakota Runoffs, on the 12th.

Are there any notable races in those states?

Connecticut: Gubernatorial Primary (DEM only)
Minnesota: Gubernatorial Primary, Senatorial Primary, MN-02 DEM, MN-06 GOP
Wisconsin: Gubernatorial Primary (DEM only), WI-01, WI-03 GOP, WI-04, WI-06 GOP, WI-07
South Dakota: Nothing

[cinyc]

There was a sixth printout at 3:25AM Hawaii Time, which included precinct-level data.  Schatz' lead narrowed a bit to 1,635 votes:

Schatz 113800
Hanabusa 112165   
Evans 4792   
Blank Votes  3781
Overvotes 147

So there were more votes for an unknown third candidate and more people who left the race blank than the margin of victory.

Election day votes were 43.17% of the total votes cast.  46.87% of the votes cast were by-mail absentee.  9.96% of votes cast were in-person early votes.  Hanabusa won the by-mail absentees, 50.35%-47.78%.  Schatz won the in-person early vote 50.08%-48.20% and the election day vote 50.80%-46.81%.

None of the vote from the two precincts on Hawaii where the election was postponed was included in the tally - absentee, early or otherwise.  No votes were included in precinct 45-03, a small absentee-only precinct with 76 registered voters on or near Wheeler Army Airfield in Wahiawa, Oahu.  It may just be that no votes were cast there at all.

A map of the results by House district to come.

[Vega]

Interesting. With each new printout after the third, Schatz's lead seems to be narrowing.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

I feel sorry for Hanabusa. So close but no cigar...

Ige won by 35 points. Not impressive for her.

[cinyc]

AoSHQDD has called the race for Schatz.  

It's hard to see how Hanabusa makes up a 1,635-vote deficit in the two outstanding precincts.  For starters, some of the voters have already cast absentee or early ballots.  Schatz won the absentee and election-day vote in neighboring precincts.  And even if all 8,000 registered voters were to vote, Hanabusa would need to win it 60-40.  If a more realistic 4,000 votes are cast, she'd need to win it 70-30 - a margin she rarely reached in any precinct statewide.

[Antonio the Sixth]

AoSHQDD has called the race for Schatz. 

It's hard to see how Hanabusa makes up a 1,635-vote deficit in the two outstanding precincts.  For starters, some of the voters have already cast absentee or early ballots.  Schatz won the absentee and election-day vote in neighboring precincts.  And even if all 8,000 registered voters were to vote, Hanabusa would need to win it 60-40.  If a more realistic 4,000 votes are cast, she'd need to win it 70-30 - a margin she rarely reached in any precinct statewide.

Fantastic news! Long live our brave Senator Schatz!

[ElectionsGuy]

I missed watching results come in last night (went to bed early). But, as far as I can tell no big surprises. Maybe that Ige won by such a big margin (Abercrombie is the only governor that has been defeated this cycle), but other than that, I can't think of anything. I don't know whether the senate is going to go to a recount, but Schatz looks to have won Cochran style.

[Anti Democrat Democrat Club]

Glorious news. Progressivism is alive and well in Hawaii.

[cinyc]

Here is a map of the results of the 2014 Hawaii Democratic Senate primary by Precinct.  A Schatz win is in blue.  A Hanabusa win is in red.  Empty precincts are in dark grey.  The two precincts that haven't voted are in light grey.  The winning results are shaded using the usual Atlas color scale.

Statewide:


And since it's hard to see some of the precincts, here are close-in views by county:

Honolulu (Oahu):


Kauai:


Maui (and Kalawao):


Hawaii (Big Island):

[Antonio the Sixth]

Fascinating maps! And those two precincts look like they should support Schatz as well (or at worst go to Hanabusa by a very tiny margin).

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Maui:

The northern most precinct is Kalawao County.

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Good news for Schatz that he won the precincts neighboring the 2 that haven't voted.

[nclib]

Interesting that Hanabusa and Abercrombie both performed worse in Honolulu than statewide despite having represented HI-1.

[cinyc]

Interesting. With each new printout after the third, Schatz's lead seems to be narrowing.

This, from Hawaii News Now, explains why the last printout was Hanabusa-friendly - it included poorly marked mail-in ballots.  Hanabusa won the mail-in ballots:

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[Tender Branson]

CT results:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/CT_Page_0812.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

MN results:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/MN_Page_0812.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

WI results:

http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/files/elections/2014/by_state/WI_Page_0812.html?SITE=AP&SECTION=POLITICS

[ElectionsGuy]

WI-6 should be the most interesting thing out of WI. Otherwise I'm most interested in Waukesha and Milwaukee County sheriff races.

[Badger]

Fascinating maps! And those two precincts look like they should support Schatz as well (or at worst go to Hanabusa by a very tiny margin).

Are my eyes playing tricks, or is there a tiny sliver of a red red precinct on the west border of the northernmost gray precinct?

[Vega]

Fascinating maps! And those two precincts look like they should support Schatz as well (or at worst go to Hanabusa by a very tiny margin).

Are my eyes playing tricks, or is there a tiny sliver of a red red precinct on the west border of the northernmost gray precinct?

Nope, it's there. A very tiny precinct, apparently.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

We now have some winners of previously uncalled races from prior primaries:

Tennessee 4th District (REP): Scott DesJarlais (a recount is still possible here, but assume this is the winner until further notice.)
Michigan 14th District (DEM): Brenda Lawrence
Washington 1st District, Slot 2: Pedro Celis

Source: Secretary of State Websites

Meanwhile, in the Hawaii DEM Senate Primary, voters in the two precincts closed down due to the storm will vote this Friday, with the usual poll closing time (Midnight EST). Schatz is the likely winner of the overall primary, but Hanabusa continues to hope for a miracle.

---------------------------------------
Tonight is Connecticut, Minnesota, and Wisconsin primaries. (The South Dakota Runoff has been canceled due to there not being any races requiring runoffs) Poll closing times are as follows:

8 PM EST: CT
9 PM EST: MN, WI

[cinyc]

Fascinating maps! And those two precincts look like they should support Schatz as well (or at worst go to Hanabusa by a very tiny margin).

Are my eyes playing tricks, or is there a tiny sliver of a red red precinct on the west border of the northernmost gray precinct?

Yes there is.  It is precinct 03-03, a very small absentee-only precinct that only cast 51 votes in the Dem Senate primary.  (Some very small Hawaiian precincts don't get to vote on election day.  All voting is by-mail absentee, although a few people may vote in the in-person early voting.) It went 60.8%-37.3% Hanabusa.  

The dot in the middle of Oahu is an artifact of the water file I use to add water boundaries.  It doesn't show up in the precinct-level layer.

[Matty]

Any chance paul ryan loses his seat?

[cinyc]

According to the mayor, as of 6PM, Republican turnout in Danbury, Connecticut is running a little better than half of 2010, at 13.4% of registered Republicans:

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As of 7PM, the numbers are a little better - up to 14.6%, but the mayor didn't post a 2010 comparison:

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[ElectionsGuy]

Any chance paul ryan loses his seat?

His opponent is a progressive activist who doesn't even have a campaign website. No.

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Connecticut is beginning to report:

U.S. Senate: No race
U.S. House: No contested races

Governor:

Gov. Malloy (D) renominated unopposed
0.7% in for the republicans, Foley leading McKinney 67-33

[Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

5.7% in now in CT, Foley leading 62-38