I'd say Trump, largely due to the fact the ultra-Conservative Jewish population in the County is growing.
I would actually argue a place like Rockland County is one of Trump's best opportunities to match Zeldin's 2022 numbers. Ultra-Conservative Jewish communities were the one place where Zeldin slightly ran behind Trump in 2022, so given that's what's primarily powering Republican strength here, Trump could achieve close to Zeldin 2022 numbers.
Trump is favored here, though he almost certainly won't win it by as much as Zeldin did.
Gillibrand has a decent shot at holding it though (like Schumer did in 2022), though Lawler's definitely winning it at the house level.
Gillibrand has a decent shot at holding it though (like Schumer did in 2022), though Lawler's definitely winning it at the house level.
I would actually argue a place like Rockland County is one of Trump's best opportunities to match Zeldin's 2022 numbers. Ultra-Conservative Jewish communities were the one place where Zeldin slightly ran behind Trump in 2022, so given that's what's primarily powering Republican strength here, Trump could achieve close to Zeldin 2022 numbers.
Zeldin's numbers in Rockland were also carried by overperformances in the secular parts of the county like Suffern, New City, Pearl River, and Nyack that I can't see Trump matching.