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The economy is improving that's why Biden is ahead in most QU polls

How on Earth this clown is still pulling more votes from Biden than trump in some polls I will never understand. All of his positions are alt-right, Alex Jones/Joe Rogan mouth breather conspiracies and paranoia. What idiot democrats are seeing JFK Jr and saying, "yeh, letting viruses run wild for four years unchecked and pardoning all the Jan 6th terrorists appeals to me."

Tbf, doesn't he also mix in some left to far-left talking points as well?

Ultimately though I think this all suggests that Biden will gain votes as we approach election day, since disaffected low-info liberals will come back to him and abandon RFK.

That's why Biden is winning, in the QU poll

FT out with a good adjustable prediction model

https://twitter.com/xtophercook/status/1795704746969641157

Biden says a couple SCOTUS may retire after 24, this DOESNT MEAN ALITO AND THOMAS ARE RETIRING, it does mean CRT packing. That should Congress send him a bill from 11)13 judges which we only need 11 not 13 to balance out Roberts with Kruger and Childs, we can go back to way it was under Ginnsberg

So a Secular Trifecta is on the way, even if we don't win H or S and sweep 26/28 S map looks Golden for us

Collins and Daines are vulnerable and Tillis in 26 and Johnson and Vance are vulnerable in 28

MK seems to be having a fantastic night. These things cannot be properly measured, but I wonder if they are going to end up as the first party among ethnic Zulu voters.

"Free State Projection:

ANC 53% (-8)
DA 21% (+3)
EFF 12% (-)
FF+ 4% (-)
MK 3% (+3)
ActionSA 1% (+1)
PA 1% (+1)

ANC holds on."

https://x.com/DawieScholtz/status/1796080185600586191

So It's a DA-ANC Coalition Time, WHat's the seat distribution from this estimate ?

CSIR's first national projection out and it's quite something.


ANC 42% (-15.5)
DA 22% (+1.5)
MK 13% (new)
EFF 9% (-2)
PA 2% (new)

I mean, it's just pissing in the wind trying to attract 'yer da' types on Facebook. Nothing really lost.

I might be misconstruing this, because I’ve been doing some work with a small business that lives and dies off Meta advertising to 35-65s. But it’s feels like a massive oversight, surely?

Sure, Facebook trends older - but so do voters! Individual Tory candidates are spending thousands on Meta ads. The Lib Dems are running four different ads targeting Scottish voters alone.

I'm not sure what the exact age demographics were for MySpace and Friends Reunited back in the mid-to-late 2000s, but I'm pretty sure the latter skewed a lot older than Facebook does and the former skewed a lot younger than TikTok does. Yes, MySpace and Friends Reunited both had more of a specific theme that would skew their demographics, but that's kind of the point.