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May 20, 2024, 02:42:23 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

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 1 
 on: Today at 02:42:23 PM 
Started by CookieDamage - Last post by P. Clodius Pulcher did nothing wrong
Fun

 2 
 on: Today at 02:41:51 PM 
Started by EJ24 - Last post by LAKISYLVANIA
Something else:

Netanyahu threw the election to Trump

and/or

Democrats should never condone genocide ever again anymore.

 3 
 on: Today at 02:40:48 PM 
Started by MR DARK BRANDON - Last post by Matty
I’m convinced this is the same sample of voters each week

 4 
 on: Today at 02:40:05 PM 
Started by Harry Hayfield - Last post by Filuwaúrdjan
I would be careful about reading overmuch into any single poll and so on, though we can note that it's significant that figures like that can be produced.

 5 
 on: Today at 02:40:01 PM 
Started by Burke Bro - Last post by Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
If he were to win in 2024 and term limits only applied to consecutive terms, any of the potential Democratic candidates like Whitmer, Moore, Warnock or Beshear would clobber him in the landslide we thought 2020 would be.

If Ds lose this Eday they deserve a 3 term Trump but 20 wasn't a landslide because Biden scandal came out on sex abuse and Hunter

Whitmer isn't going to be the Nominee or Harris stop playing it's gonna be Newsom

 6 
 on: Today at 02:39:02 PM 
Started by iceman - Last post by LAKISYLVANIA
He might get bigger swings with some states' blacks than others. The thing to look for is where the AAs in a state are more non-college and low income, I'm not sure yet if there's an urban/rural difference. The Democratic vote is so high with them everywhere but perhaps in some states there is more vote to lose than in others.

I suspect this would be states with larger proportions of rural Afro-Americans and states with a worse educational system than others and institutional racism in its history, which would typically be the south.

Georgia, Mississippi, South Carolina, North Carolina, Louisiana, Alabama, Florida, maybe Virginia (?)

 7 
 on: Today at 02:38:57 PM 
Started by iceman - Last post by Dan the Roman
Way back in 2016, when all polling, prognostics by pundits and overall political climate point out to a Clinton blowout, I already knew she was in trouble early in the night when the margins in rural Kentucky and Indiana where lopsided for Trump. That was all confirned when Ohio was called before states in the west coast closed at 11PM EST and the margin was almost 10% when just the day before a columbus dispatch (gold standard for Ohio) showed a 1% Clinton edge.

This^ if the numbers in Indiana look closer to 2016 than 2020, while not definitive, that probably indicates bad news for Biden.

I mean this isn't talking about one county, or 1-2% but if Biden is consistently doing 3-4% worse across the board, and, say IN-01 is going R or is TCTC that is a good sign for Trump.

 8 
 on: Today at 02:38:32 PM 
Started by WV222 - Last post by mjba257
I know the judge said he doesn't want deliberations being disrupted by the long weekend, so if the defense rests their case either today or tomorrow, will court be recessed for the rest of the week?

 9 
 on: Today at 02:38:30 PM 
Started by OSR stands with Israel - Last post by Rubensim
God joe you really are trying to lose to trump
but well at least he didn't damage relations with israel any further so that good but he just destroyed his progressive and probably african and youth vote even further so yeah.

 10 
 on: Today at 02:37:25 PM 
Started by Harry Hayfield - Last post by DL
If Labour were to beat the SNP by that big a margin in the popular vote I’m
Guessing they’d win the vast majority of seats in Scotland

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