MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« on: May 03, 2016, 04:50:05 AM » |
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« edited: May 03, 2016, 04:51:39 AM by TN volunteer »
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I think one of the most interesting things to watch in a Clinton vs. Trump race will be the trend map. I think Republicans are slowly but steadily losing support in the Solid South (VA, NC, SC, GA, FL, MS) due to demographic changes, while other Sunbelt states like CA and NM are either already a lost cause for them or headed that way. AZ, LA and OK are also trending Democratic.
Do you think the entire Sunbelt will trend Democratic with Trump as the nominee? I definitely think so. If the entire Southwest and Southeast trends Democratic, it probably means that the Midwest and most parts of the Northeast (with the exception of NH) will trend Republican. Does this tell us anything about the electoral map in 20 years and in which direction those states are headed?
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