Trump vs. Clinton with the Economy of 2008 (user search)
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  Trump vs. Clinton with the Economy of 2008 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Trump vs. Clinton with the Economy of 2008  (Read 585 times)
Skill and Chance
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« on: May 20, 2017, 03:29:07 PM »
« edited: May 20, 2017, 03:32:43 PM by Skill and Chance »

How would this have looked?  Would Trump have consistently led in the national polls after 9/15?  I am thinking something like this?



Trump/Pence 342 EV 51.2%
Clinton/Kaine 196 EV 45.7%

VA is Clinton by <0.5% and NM is Trump by <0.5% after recounts in both states. At least 20% of all votes in VT are Sanders write-ins.  My sense is that Trump's PV ceiling would be even lower than Obama's.  Thoughts?
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Skill and Chance
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Posts: 12,700
« Reply #1 on: May 20, 2017, 05:00:50 PM »

People saw "business" as the problem.  A lot of folks can't tell the difference between Trump and "Wall Street" or "Bankers".  

True.  In 1896, that was enough for William Jennings Bryan to come close but not to win.  Besides, it was ambiguous to most voters who was the candidate of "big business."  LOL at those who still have Clinton winning the PV under this scenario or Trump winning it by less than Bush 2004.
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