Safe Republican States

[PolitiJunkie]

Why don't we just keep this in the "Where do the states fall?" thread. We were having a nice discussion and this seems superfluous. But the safest Republican states are Utah, Idaho, Wyoming, Oklahoma, Nebraska Statewide, NE-03, Alabama, and Kansas. And by the time Hillary frenzy is done and there is no longer a Republican bench of Senators/Governors who could be President/VP from the Dakotas, I predict West Virginia, Kentucky, Arkansas, Tennessee, North Dakota, and South Dakota will move from Solid R to Safe R.

[PolitiJunkie]

I'm going to post this in both of Barfy's threads so he understands the true nature of our hopelessly divided Presidential politics; as well as the dire nature of the electoral situation his beloved GOP faces. 

In a race that is within 2-3 pts nationally (aka competitive), these are the only states that can be considered up for grabs. 

263-191. 

Sure, you might find SPECIFIC candidates like a Christie (making NJ somewhat competitive) or a Clinton (all the sudden Arkansas doesn't think the Dems are the devil anymore)... but for the most part, this is how it will shake out in the end. 

It's basically a situation where the GOP either has to go up a few points nationally (tough for either party in recent history; minus 2008, when the GOP had basically just ruined everything) or run the table in the swing states. 

This certainly has historical precedent.  See the early 1900s and the 1980s, when the GOP had an absolute stranglehold on the Electoral College. 

Please explain to us in depth detail what your post has to do with the voting patterns and political dynamics of AK, NE, OK, UT, ID, WY, and ND. You might as well have described why you're pro-choice on a thread about arctic drilling. All we're doing is discussing how and why the above mentioned states vote the way they do. There is no need for anyone to think more into this than necessary. Thank you.

You can't call people disagreeing with you off topic. In what world is listing one's opinion of the Safe Republican states in a thread called Safe Republican states the equivalent of discussing abortion in a thread about arctic drilling? You're on crack.

[PolitiJunkie]

Oklahoma - Oklahoma has 7 electoral votes, and around 3.8 million people. Oklahoma has voted republican in every election since 1964, and in recent history has claimed one of the most conservative states. The state is religious, and it is mostly protestant. The state is what I would consider part southern and part great plains. The western side is southern, and the eastern side is great plains. However its mostly protestant religious group makes it in most people's eyes a more southern state. Oklahoma has turned sharply right in recent years, emphasizing its opposition to Barack Obama, like many states around the area. Oklahoma is also one of the most consistently republican states all around the state, making it the only state to have a complete county sweep for republican in the last three elections in a row. While the urban centers are less republican than rural areas and suburbs, they have still been pretty supportive of the republican party. While the state is only 68% white, turnout issues with Hispanics (9%) and Native Americans (9%) has made the state safely republican because whites now go >70% for republicans. Democrats can only get there votes out in black and Native American parts of the state, while republicans consistently do good everywhere else, especially in the outer suburbs of Tulsa and Oklahoma City and the Northwestern great plains part of the state.

TL;DR: "God, Guns, and Gays!"