VA-GOV 2017: Utter Panic and Doom (General election: Nov 7th)

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Good. A bitter democratic primary can only help Gillespie.

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

If Stewart is the nominee, the Dem nominee really doesn't even need to campaign, but I highly doubt he actually gets nominated.

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

If Stewart is the nominee, the Dem nominee really doesn't even need to campaign, but I highly doubt he actually gets nominated.

I mean, VA Dems could even flip the lower house of the legislature with Stewart at the top of the GOP ticket.

Yeah, if Stewart is the nominee I would expect Republicans to lose every seat in Fairfax.

How many seats do they even have there these days?

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Polls have closed

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

ANY numbers yet?

Patience is a virtue.

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Ralph Northam
740   69.2%
Tom Perriello
330   30.8
<1% reporting (9 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Edward Gillespie
349   43.5%
Corey Stewart
327   40.7
Frank Wagner
127   15.8
<1% reporting (10 of 2,561 precincts)

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Justin Fairfax
617   60.9%
Susan Platt
257   25.4
Gene Rossi
139   13.7
<1% reporting (9 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Bryce Reeves
369   47.1%
Jill Vogel
262   33.5
Glenn Davis
152   19.4
<1% reporting (10 of 2,561 precincts)

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Ralph Northam
2,430   60.5%
Tom Perriello
1,587   39.5
1% reporting (20 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Edward Gillespie
1,619   46.3%
Corey Stewart
1,516   43.3
Frank Wagner
363   10.4
1% reporting (24 of 2,561 precincts)

Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Justin Fairfax
734   58.3%
Susan Platt
358   28.4
Gene Rossi
167   13.3
1% reporting (13 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Bryce Reeves
758   47.9%
Jill Vogel
555   35.1
Glenn Davis
270   17.1
1% reporting (16 of 2,561 precincts)

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Ralph Northam
12,522   55.5%
Tom Perriello
10,032   44.5
4% reporting (101 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Corey Stewart
5,764   44.6%
Edward Gillespie
5,622   43.5
Frank Wagner
1,531   11.9
3% reporting (74 of 2,561 precincts)

Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Justin Fairfax
9,197   48.6%
Susan Platt
7,412   39.2
Gene Rossi
2,300   12.2
3% reporting (85 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Jill Vogel
6,122   49.3%
Bryce Reeves
4,432   35.7
Glenn Davis
1,852   14.9
3% reporting (71 of 2,561 precincts)

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Ralph Northam
25,038   55.3%
Tom Perriello
20,199   44.7
9% reporting (219 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Edward Gillespie
20,141   44.6%
Corey Stewart
19,235   42.6
Frank Wagner
5,741   12.7
13% reporting (330 of 2,561 precincts)

Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Justin Fairfax
19,690   48.5%
Susan Platt
15,951   39.3
Gene Rossi
4,979   12.3
8% reporting (212 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Jill Vogel
15,484   43.4%
Bryce Reeves
14,632   41.1
Glenn Davis
5,522   15.5
10% reporting (250 of 2,561 precincts)

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Ralph Northam
51,589   57.3%
Tom Perriello
38,519   42.7
18% reporting (458 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Edward Gillespie
27,166   43.7%
Corey Stewart
25,878   41.7
Frank Wagner
9,060   14.6
17% reporting (440 of 2,561 precincts)

Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Justin Fairfax
43,498   48.4%
Susan Platt
35,786   39.8
Gene Rossi
10,653   11.8
18% reporting (468 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Jill Vogel
24,651   42.7%
Bryce Reeves
23,809   41.2
Glenn Davis
9,311   16.1
15% reporting (380 of 2,561 precincts)

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Barring a shock in Prince William, Northam seems okay. Gillespie is clearly on the ropes though.

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Ralph Northam
78,419   57.3%
Tom Perriello
58,415   42.7
27% reporting (704 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Edward Gillespie
39,430   43.4%
Corey Stewart
37,903   41.7
Frank Wagner
13,578   14.9
24% reporting (620 of 2,561 precincts)

Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Justin Fairfax
63,720   48.3%
Susan Platt
52,321   39.6
Gene Rossi
15,974   12.1
28% reporting (711 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Jill Vogel
37,167   43.0%
Bryce Reeves
34,983   40.5
Glenn Davis
14,192   16.4
24% reporting (606 of 2,561 precincts)

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Ralph Northam
103,376   57.1%
Tom Perriello
77,815   42.9
37% reporting (943 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Edward Gillespie
61,757   43.6%
Corey Stewart
59,239   41.8
Frank Wagner
20,758   14.6
40% reporting (1,016 of 2,561 precincts)

Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Justin Fairfax
81,298   48.6%
Susan Platt
65,978   39.4
Gene Rossi
20,020   12.0
37% reporting (941 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Jill Vogel
56,715   42.0%
Bryce Reeves
55,717   41.3
Glenn Davis
22,558   16.7
39% reporting (989 of 2,561 precincts)

I am not making any calls until we see something from Prince William.

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Ralph Northam
125,926   56.2%
Tom Perriello
98,284   43.8
44% reporting (1,118 of 2,561 precincts)


Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Edward Gillespie
74,799   43.7%
Corey Stewart
71,964   42.1
Frank Wagner
24,372   14.2
46% reporting (1,169 of 2,561 precincts)

Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Justin Fairfax
100,738   48.5%
Susan Platt
82,406   39.7
Gene Rossi
24,684   11.9
42% reporting (1,076 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Bryce Reeves
70,184   41.8%
Jill Vogel
69,616   41.5
Glenn Davis
27,991   16.7
45% reporting (1,162 of 2,561 precincts)

I am not making any calls until we see something from Prince William.

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Ralph Northam
161,403   56.1%
Tom Perriello
126,347   43.9
57% reporting (1,457 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Edward Gillespie
94,661   44.1%
Corey Stewart
89,872   41.8
Frank Wagner
30,226   14.1
59% reporting (1,505 of 2,561 precincts)

Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Justin Fairfax
131,556   48.7%
Susan Platt
106,683   39.5
Gene Rossi
32,041   11.9
56% reporting (1,441 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Jill Vogel
86,588   41.6%
Bryce Reeves
86,401   41.6
Glenn Davis
34,915   16.8
59% reporting (1,499 of 2,561 precincts)


I am not making any calls until we see something from Prince William.

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION: NORTHAM WINS DEM PRIMARY

Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Ralph Northam
175,178   55.8%
Tom Perriello
138,727   44.2
62% reporting (1,595 of 2,561 precincts)

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION: FAIRFAX WINS DEM PRIMARY

Lieutenant Governor
Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Justin Fairfax
152,634   48.5%
Susan Platt
124,553   39.6
Gene Rossi
37,481   11.9
65% reporting (1,674 of 2,561 precincts)

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Edward Gillespie
107,442   43.6%
Corey Stewart
105,065   42.6
Frank Wagner
33,979   13.8
67% reporting (1,718 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Jill Vogel
99,279   41.8%
Bryce Reeves
97,793   41.2
Glenn Davis
40,491   17.0
66% reporting (1,682 of 2,561 precincts)

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Edward Gillespie
129,867   43.5%
Corey Stewart
128,529   43.0
Frank Wagner
40,163   13.5
83% reporting (2,120 of 2,561 precincts)

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Jill Vogel
119,372   42.1%
Bryce Reeves
115,985   40.9
Glenn Davis
48,049   17.0
81% reporting (2,077 of 2,561 precincts)

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTION: VOGEL WINS REP PRIMARY

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Jill Vogel
124,685   42.1%
Bryce Reeves
121,124   40.9
Glenn Davis
50,159   16.9
85% reporting (2,171 of 2,561 precincts)

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Edward Gillespie
134,669   43.5%
Corey Stewart
133,354   43.1
Frank Wagner
41,486   13.4
86% reporting (2,196 of 2,561 precincts)

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Edward Gillespie
139,361   43.6%
Corey Stewart
137,332   42.9
Frank Wagner
43,276   13.5
88% reporting (2,265 of 2,561 precincts)

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

I'm about 75% sure Gillespie has this.

[Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon]

Stewart narrowing it from 0.7% to 0.6%

Republican Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.
Edward Gillespie
141,493   43.5%
Corey Stewart
139,519   42.9
Frank Wagner
44,293   13.6
90% reporting (2,311 of 2,561 precincts)