Gallup poll shows that Obama is weak among white voters

[J. J.]

The Democratic candidate is always weak among white voters. You may as well give a poll pointing out that McCain is going to get creamed among black voters.

Since 1968, no Democratic candidate has won a majority of white voters.  Most, if not all, has won a majority of the white Democratic voters.  Obama is in real danger of losing that group in the Fall, or at least, not carrying it strongly enough to win in the Fall.  The campaign didn't start out that way, but since March, it's been drifting that direction.  It's actually gotten worse since then. 

[J. J.]

The Democratic candidate is always weak among white voters. You may as well give a poll pointing out that McCain is going to get creamed among black voters.

Since 1968, no Democratic candidate has won a majority of white voters.  Most, if not all, has won a majority of the white Democratic voters.  Obama is in real danger of losing that group in the Fall, or at least, not carrying it strongly enough to win in the Fall.  The campaign didn't start out that way, but since March, it's been drifting that direction.  It's actually gotten worse since then. 

If this poll is any indication, Obama is winning white Democratic voters handily. But I wouldn't expect otherwise from someone whose only consistency has been to be consistently wrong.

Except he's not winning it overall, not even the white Democratic vote.  Oregon, out of the  primaries since March, has been the only one; Vermont was the only one in March where he did it.  Prior to that, Obama was winning the white primary vote, but not since then.

When you take that to the white "working class" vote, it has gotten worse.

The Democratic candidate is always weak among white voters. You may as well give a poll pointing out that McCain is going to get creamed among black voters.

Since 1968, no Democratic candidate has won a majority of white voters.  Most, if not all, has won a majority of the white Democratic voters.  Obama is in real danger of losing that group in the Fall, or at least, not carrying it strongly enough to win in the Fall.  The campaign didn't start out that way, but since March, it's been drifting that direction.  It's actually gotten worse since then. 

You're delusional if you think that Obama won't win the majority of white Democrats in November.  He'd have to lose 70-30 not to.

More like 48-52 to 45-55.

[J. J.]

White Democratic voters in the General polls, J. J.  No one is saying that Obama has won White Democrats in the Primary.

Alcon, I'm saying that this is the problem for Obama, not that he'll lose the the white vote (he will, so did Nixon (1968), Carter (1976), and Clinton (Both Times)).  I'm looking at the primary numbers and saying that Obama is in danger of with white Democratic voters.  He can be nominated with a sizable minority of the Democratic white votes, but he cannot win the general unless he improves with this group.