UK General Election - May 7th 2015

[Helsinkian]

The Telegraph reports that Ashcroft has revised some of their earlier constituency polls done in November, because there was a "mistake in the data".

According to the revised results, Sheffield Hallam was:

Labour 30%
Lib Dem 27%
Conservatives 19%
UKIP 13%
Greens 10%

And South Thanet was:

Conservatives 33%
UKIP 32%
Labour 26%

[Helsinkian]

So let's say that the Tories get 33 percent to Labour's 32 percent, but Labour ends up with more seats... Do you think a scenario like that would lead to increased demands for electoral reform within the Tories?

[Helsinkian]

At the moment May2015 is indicating that, with Labour and the Tories both getting 33.3 percent of the votes, the Tories would get 17 seats more (263 to Labour, 280 to Tories). It has previously been said that the constituency boundaries favour Labour, but I guess that doesn't matter so much in the scenario where the SNP wipes Labour out from Scotland, which is what May2015 is currently predicting.

[Helsinkian]

One thing I noticed: the Isle of Wight has the largest population among the constituencies, and it's reliably Conservative. If it were split into two constituencies, the Tories would have two MPs from there instead of one. But apparently the islanders don't want to split it.

[Helsinkian]

She's a candidate for Folkestone too.

Do they have time to put up another candidate?