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Author Topic: New poll hype thread  (Read 93954 times)
BoAtlantis
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« Reply #475 on: October 07, 2016, 10:43:01 AM »

I predict +1 Trump for Iowa.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #476 on: October 07, 2016, 10:48:40 AM »

btw ...this are the "one week later" polls, eh?

if HRC is still FAAAR ahead, it would show an adjustment.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #477 on: October 07, 2016, 11:03:17 AM »

I'll  be optimistic and guess Clinton +1 for Iowa.
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elcorazon
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« Reply #478 on: October 07, 2016, 11:06:17 AM »

HRC + 2 in Iowa
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heatcharger
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« Reply #479 on: October 07, 2016, 11:33:26 AM »

Finally Selzer is polling Iowa... considering they had Trump up bigly in the Iowa Caucus, I'll say Trump +2.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #480 on: October 07, 2016, 12:44:30 PM »

Mark Murray states new NBC/WSJ battleground state polls are coming out "very soon."

Guessing in the evening.

Does anyone have any inside information on exactly when (time) we will see the
new ABC/WSJ poll(s) ?
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F_S_USATN
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« Reply #481 on: October 07, 2016, 01:46:42 PM »

Mark Murray states new NBC/WSJ battleground state polls are coming out "very soon."

Guessing in the evening.

Does anyone have any inside information on exactly when (time) we will see the
new ABC/WSJ poll(s) ?

No inside info but ABC usually releases at 11pm central time(weekends) and WSJ usually is 4pm central(on weekdays). And Mark Murray usually tells us via twitter the day that they drop
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #482 on: October 07, 2016, 01:57:08 PM »

Mark Murray states new NBC/WSJ battleground state polls are coming out "very soon."

Guessing in the evening.

Does anyone have any inside information on exactly when (time) we will see the
new ABC/WSJ poll(s) ?

No inside info but ABC usually releases at 11pm central time(weekends) and WSJ usually is 4pm central(on weekdays). And Mark Murray usually tells us via twitter the day that they drop

OK. Thank you for the info.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #483 on: October 07, 2016, 02:00:36 PM »

Considering Hillary is up to +5 to +7 now nationally, the Selzer poll will likely show a tie (+/-2%).
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Maxwell
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« Reply #484 on: October 07, 2016, 02:03:45 PM »

I'll  be optimistic and guess Clinton +1 for Iowa.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #485 on: October 08, 2016, 10:15:58 AM »

Tomorrow:

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heatcharger
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« Reply #486 on: October 08, 2016, 10:18:53 AM »

Tomorrow:

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This probably isn't going to capture, whatever you want to call this current scandal, so I'll guess:

OH: Clinton +4, Portman +12
PA: Clinton +8, McGinty +4
WI: Clinton +8, Feingold +11
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #487 on: October 08, 2016, 10:21:08 AM »

YouGov has shown abnormally high Hillary margins in OH before, so if they are using the same panel, I'd expect something like Hillary+10.

As for PA and WI:

PA: C+9
WI: C+9
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PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #488 on: October 08, 2016, 10:21:42 AM »

WI: C+5
OH: C+2
PA: C+7
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PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #489 on: October 08, 2016, 10:22:29 AM »

YouGov has shown abnormally high Hillary margins in OH before, so if they are using the same panel, I'd expect something like Hillary+10.

As for PA and WI:

PA: C+9
WI: C+9

Do they normally use the same voters for each state poll?
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Holmes
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« Reply #490 on: October 08, 2016, 11:04:54 AM »

Pre-Pussygate YouGov polls...

OH C+2
PA C+9
WI C+10
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Likely Voter
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« Reply #491 on: October 08, 2016, 12:33:36 PM »

Politico has new poll in field today, say they will have results tomorrow
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Ebsy
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« Reply #492 on: October 08, 2016, 12:36:35 PM »

Politico has new poll in field today, say they will have results tomorrow
Will it be from Morning Consult?
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #493 on: October 08, 2016, 12:45:57 PM »

OH: Clinton +3, Portman +13
PA: Clinton +8, McGinty +2
WI: Clinton +9, Feingold +10
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dspNY
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« Reply #494 on: October 08, 2016, 12:59:23 PM »

OH: Clinton +3, Portman +15
PA: Clinton +10, McGinty +2
WI: Clinton +8, Feingold +15
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Gass3268
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« Reply #495 on: October 08, 2016, 03:17:07 PM »

Looks like Monmouth might be looking into polling non-traditional states:

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Ronnie
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« Reply #496 on: October 08, 2016, 08:08:50 PM »

Prediction on Politico poll tomorrow morning:

Clinton 49
Trump 41
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100% pro-life no matter what
ExtremeRepublican
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« Reply #497 on: October 08, 2016, 10:44:29 PM »

Any predictions about tomorrow's update of the LA Times poll?  I'll say Trump +0.8.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #498 on: October 08, 2016, 10:44:59 PM »

Any predictions about tomorrow's update of the LA Times poll?  I'll say Trump +0.8.

Why would that trash-heap move?
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dspNY
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« Reply #499 on: October 09, 2016, 06:41:53 AM »

NBC will release full Florida and Pennsylvania polls at 9 AM Eastern time, presumably on Meet the Press

https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/785076317746139136
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