Alex Sink running for Bill Young's old house seat

[Bacon King]

Okay seriously since when has Alex Sink been a white woman? For some reason, I've always been under the impression that Alex Sink was black and male. Didn't realize this correct until seeing JacobTiver's sig just now.

[Flake]

Okay seriously since when has Alex Sink been a white woman? For some reason, I've always been under the impression that Alex Sink was black and male. Didn't realize this correct until seeing JacobTiver's sig just now.

She's a white woman from North Carolina in her sixties tho

[Miles]

This isn't very jolly news for Republicans:

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[Tender Branson]

This isn't very jolly news for Republicans:

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And Sink already led him by more than 20 in the last poll ...

[Donerail]

Qualifying opened today. We'll know by the end of tomorrow who the candidates will be - there's serious talk of State Rep. Kathleen Peters (R-South Pasadena) jumping into the race against Jolly.

[publicunofficial]

Okay seriously since when has Alex Sink been a white woman? For some reason, I've always been under the impression that Alex Sink was black and male. Didn't realize this correct until seeing JacobTiver's sig just now.

If it helps, I think she's 1/4 Chinese. She's a descendant of one of the original Siamese Twins.

[Donerail]

Okay seriously since when has Alex Sink been a white woman? For some reason, I've always been under the impression that Alex Sink was black and male. Didn't realize this correct until seeing JacobTiver's sig just now.

If it helps, I think she's 1/4 Chinese. She's a descendant of one of the original Siamese Twins.

1/8 - Chang Bunker was her great-grandfather.

[Miles]

Qualifying opened today. We'll know by the end of tomorrow who the candidates will be - there's serious talk of State Rep. Kathleen Peters (R-South Pasadena) jumping into the race against Jolly.

Sounds like she will. She has a "major announcement" tomorrow morning.

[Tender Branson]

A new set of polls:

If the special election for the US Congressional district 13 seat were held today, and
the candidates were Kathleen Peters and Alex Sink, who would you vote for?

    Peters:           30.7%
    Sink:              49.7%
    Undecided:    19.6%

If the candidates were David Jolly and Alex Sink, who would you vote for?

    Jolly:               34.9%
    Sink:               49.3%
    Undecided:     15.7%


REPUBLICANS ONLY:

In the Republican Primary for the US Congressional district 13 seat, would you vote for David Jolly, Kathleen Peters or Someone else?

Responses: 582 (Margin of Error ± 4.1% at 95% confidence level)

    Jolly:                   39.2%
    Peters:               17.3%
    Someone else:   30.9%
    Unsure:              12.6%

CD-13 2014 Special Election Survey

Telephone survey of active registered voters within U.S. Congressional District 13, conducted on November 18th, 2013:

(only voters that voted in the 2010 and 2012 general elections were considered active voters)

Total people polled: 1252

These results were scientifically weighted by political party, race and age.
Margin of error: ± 2.8% at a 95% confidence level

http://stpetepolls.org/surveys/special_election_2014_CD13.html

[Donerail]

Never would've imagined that any of these people (save possibly Peters at the outside edge of the sphere of possibility) would end up being the choices.

[publicunofficial]

Now that all the candidates are in, I think we can start calling this Lean D.

[publicunofficial]

Political consultant Nick Zoller, who was one of the first Republicans to declare, is only 24 and thus ineligible to run. Zoller has said he will run in November 2014 instead, regardless of who wins.


The final list of candidates are as follows:


Republicans:
Mark Bircher - Retired USMC Brigadier General
David Jolly - Attorney, Lobbyist, and former general counsel to Bill Young.
Kathleen Peters - State Representative, former Mayor of South Pasadena

Democrats:
Alex Sink - Former Chief Financial Officer of Florida, 2010 Democratic nominee for Governor of Florida

[Donerail]

The Times profiles Mark Bircher

I hadn't heard of Mark Bircher before this, but he appears to have at least a bit of money and an attractive bio. Could certainly see the Tea Party (such as it is in Pinellas) getting behind him, especially in a battle between Peters (fairly moderate, Latvala-backed) and Jolly (lobbyist, backed by establishment money (Mel Sembler)).

[publicunofficial]

Bev Young: Kinda nuts

[Miles]

'Come on down to Congress!

Bob Barker does an ad for Jolly.

[Maxwell]

'Come on down to Congress!

Bob Baker does an ad for Jolly.

Anywhere but Florida, Barker's endorsement would probably be irrelevant.

[Donerail]

The Times profiles Mark Bircher

I hadn't heard of Mark Bircher before this, but he appears to have at least a bit of money and an attractive bio. Could certainly see the Tea Party (such as it is in Pinellas) getting behind him, especially in a battle between Peters (fairly moderate, Latvala-backed) and Jolly (lobbyist, backed by establishment money (Mel Sembler)).

You heard it here first: Tea Party getting behind Bircher.

[Donerail]

Drove through most of FL-13 today. A lot of Peters signs and a lot of Jolly ones, as well as two or three Bircher signs. No Sink presence, which is what I've been feeling for much of the campaign. I haven't seen any signs, any mailers, any events - she's either waiting until after the primary or just trying to coast on name recognition.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

In the race I worked on last year, we had a 10-1 advantage in sign presence. Name recognition should get Sink by until the general election.

[Donerail]

In the race I worked on last year, we had a 10-1 advantage in sign presence. Name recognition should get Sink by until the general election.

True, signs don't vote, but it seems more like a symptom - I haven't heard anything out of the Sink campaign, haven't seen any volunteers walking or any events being held, or any mailers or calls or anything. Nothing much seems to be happening.

[Atlas Has Shrugged]

In the race I worked on last year, we had a 10-1 advantage in sign presence. Name recognition should get Sink by until the general election.

True, signs don't vote, but it seems more like a symptom - I haven't heard anything out of the Sink campaign, haven't seen any volunteers walking or any events being held, or any mailers or calls or anything. Nothing much seems to be happening.

I checked out her website, and it just lists a PO Box as her address. She has an office, I'm sure, but it is not publically listed yet, so she is probably still putting the groundwork together and corralling support and donations. I'd expect her campaign to go live after the GOP primary is held.

[Donerail]

In the race I worked on last year, we had a 10-1 advantage in sign presence. Name recognition should get Sink by until the general election.

True, signs don't vote, but it seems more like a symptom - I haven't heard anything out of the Sink campaign, haven't seen any volunteers walking or any events being held, or any mailers or calls or anything. Nothing much seems to be happening.

I checked out her website, and it just lists a PO Box as her address. She has an office, I'm sure, but it is not publically listed yet, so she is probably still putting the groundwork together and corralling support and donations. I'd expect her campaign to go live after the GOP primary is held.

Of course, she's just now moving into her condo from the county over. I won't be happy to have Jolly or Bircher, but Sink isn't my favorite local Dem either.

[Tender Branson]

Jolly up 11 in new GOP primary poll:

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http://www.saintpetersblog.com/in-latest-poll-of-cd-13-gop-primary-david-jolly-pulls-away-from-kathleen-peters

[Miles]

Martha Rpby is the latest Congresswoman to help Peters:

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[Deus Naturae]

Sink way up in fundraising.