Would Landrieu have lost in '08 if.... (user search)
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  Would Landrieu have lost in '08 if.... (search mode)
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Question: Would Landrieu have lost in '08 if it had been a more neutral year?
#1
Yes
 
#2
No
 
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Total Voters: 28

Author Topic: Would Landrieu have lost in '08 if....  (Read 1460 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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« on: December 08, 2014, 02:28:31 PM »
« edited: December 08, 2014, 02:32:45 PM by Miles »

She would have won, but it would have been by around 3-4%. I think the slump for Obama/Landrieu would have been similar in the rural areas regardless, but Obama really helped to turnout blacks for her in Baton Rouge and Shreveport.

Keep in mind, Katrina recovery was still a huge issue then. Lots of ordinarily-GOP suburban New Orleans voters were willing to look past her party label becuase of her recovery efforts. I think they would have done so even in normal/slightly Democratic year.
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Miles
MilesC56
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Posts: 19,325
United States


« Reply #1 on: December 12, 2014, 12:32:14 AM »

^ No, the change wasn't just for Landrieu's election. The 2010 LA race also used the normal primary system.
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