The Official Obama 2.0 Approval Ratings Thread

[pbrower2a]

Louisiana (Harper Polling -- for Karl Rove's group American Crossroads)

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://images.politico.com/global/2013/10/14/louisiana.html

A caveat:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

*Karl Rove's group, so take it with a boulder of salt. I'm not using it.

A similar poll of similar provenance puts Barack Obama something like 35-60 in Alaska. Likewise.

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[Tender Branson]

AR:

27-65 (RV)
29-66 (LV)

http://plsc.uark.edu/7129.php

KS:

42-56 (RV)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=2df49753-b10b-4a3c-9da6-44ac328df764

[jaichind]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/165509/obama-job-approval-declines-19th-quarter.aspx

Looking at the 19th quarter approval rating averages of different presidents.  I am struck at

Reagan         61.3%
Clinton          58.8%
Bush II          43.9%
Obama          44.5%

Looking at House races a year later, in 1986 and 1998 the House elections were pretty much a wash.  In 2006 it was a Democratic wave.  Looking at these numbers what will 2014 look like, 1986/1998 or 2006?  Of course you can argue that 2014 will be much more polarized so Dem turnout might be higher than these approval ratings might suggest.

[Tender Branson]

Why does Obama have a better approval among LV, when the GOP candidates in the Senate and Governor races increase their leads vs. RV ?

[Tender Branson]

Montana (MSU Billings):

29% approve
63% disapprove

Gov. Steve Bullock:

53% approve
14% disapprove

http://billingsgazette.com/news/local/education/new-msub-poll-reveals-montanans-opposed-shutdown-disapprove-of-obama/article_00d85a5e-ae77-5b8d-958b-3d41052cc71e.html

[pbrower2a]

AR:

27-65 (RV)
29-66 (LV)

http://plsc.uark.edu/7129.php

KS:

42-56 (RV)

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=2df49753-b10b-4a3c-9da6-44ac328df764

Montana (MSU Billings):

29% approve
63% disapprove

Gov. Steve Bullock:

53% approve
14% disapprove

http://billingsgazette.com/news/local/education/new-msub-poll-reveals-montanans-opposed-shutdown-disapprove-of-obama/article_00d85a5e-ae77-5b8d-958b-3d41052cc71e.html

OK. No Karl Rove.

I don't see the Kansas poll.

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[pbrower2a]

Wisconsin, Marquette Law School.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

https://law.marquette.edu/poll/2013/10/29/marquette-law-school-poll-shows-walker-in-tight-race-with-burke-for-wisconsin-governor-in-2014/

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[pbrower2a]

Not all that surprising (Winthrop University, South Carolina)

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.winthrop.edu/winthroppoll/default.aspx?id=9804

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[pbrower2a]

Franklin&Marshall University, Pennsylvania:

Barack Obama

Strongly favorable  27%
Somewhat favorable 23%
Somewhat unfavorable 7%
Strongly unfavorable 37%

As the question is worded it is a question of performance.

https://edisk.fandm.edu/FLI/keystone/pdf/keyoct13.pdf

Governor Corbett is doing execrably.


60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[pbrower2a]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2013/10/franken-dayton-lead-by-double-digits.html


60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[Mr. Morden]

[Flake]

This is not looking good at all.

[Lief 🗽]

This is not looking good at all.

Yes this will really harm Obama's 2016 re-re-election chances.

[pbrower2a]

November 8-11, 2013
Survey of 701 North Carolina voters

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2013/PPP_Release_NC_1112.pdf

The Obamacare rollout is hurting Democrats, including the Democratic Senator from North Carolina.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

60% or higher maroon (70% saturation)
55-59% medium red (50% saturation)
50-54% pink (30% saturation)
45-49% orange -- Obama ahead (30% saturation)
45-49% yellow -- exact tie (40% saturation)
45-49% aqua -- Obama behind (20% saturation)
44% blue (20% saturation)
40-43% blue (50% saturation)
30-40% deep blue (70% saturation)
under 30%(90% saturation)

[Tender Branson]

Quinnipiac has Obama with the worst approval since he became President:

39-54 disapprove

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=1975

Also, the RCP average has Obama with the worst approval since he became President:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Also, the RCP average has Obama with the worst approval since he became President:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president_obama_job_approval-1044.html

RCP cherry-picks what polls to use.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Truly a sad week to be an Obama fan. Barry yr in my prayers, I love you .

[pbrower2a]

It isn't sex. It isn't a war going badly. It isn't the bumbling of a natural disaster. It isn't the economy tanking. It isn't corruption.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

I think it would be better for the Democratic brand if it was, to be honest. Now people are actually genuinely dissatisfied with big government overreach and inefficiency.

[Franzl]

I think it would be better for the Democratic brand if it was, to be honest. Now people are actually genuinely dissatisfied with big government overreach and inefficiency.

No. They're dissatisfied with what they've been brainwashed to believe is "government overreach and inefficiency".

[pbrower2a]

I think it would be better for the Democratic brand if it was, to be honest. Now people are actually genuinely dissatisfied with big government overreach and inefficiency.

People are rightly opposed to  despotic, incompetent, ineffective, and corrupt government.

[Tender Branson]

Obama continues to sink:

Allstate/National Journal Poll

38% approve
55% disapprove

Allstate's final 2012 poll was Obama+5 btw ...

http://www.nationaljournal.com/white-house/poll-obama-down-but-congress-is-down-further-20131118

[Tender Branson]

New WaPo survey:

41-56 disapprove

http://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2013/11/19/National-Politics/Polling/question_12477.xml?uuid=dFWkolDXEeOe5iWACG2CVA

In before Bandit sees a conspiracy ("the polls must all be wrong") ...

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Obama continues to sink:

Allstate/National Journal Poll

38% approve
55% disapprove

Allstate's final 2012 poll was Obama+5 btw ...

http://www.nationaljournal.com/white-house/poll-obama-down-but-congress-is-down-further-20131118

I saw this already. This poll is weeks old.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

New WaPo survey:

41-56 disapprove

http://www.washingtonpost.com/page/2010-2019/WashingtonPost/2013/11/19/National-Politics/Polling/question_12477.xml?uuid=dFWkolDXEeOe5iWACG2CVA

In before Bandit sees a conspiracy ("the polls must all be wrong") ...

For the record, this poll (like several others) actually shows Obamacare to be more popular than Obama. So there has to be some other reason besides Obamacare why Obama's numbers aren't as good as they were.