Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,344
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« on: September 14, 2008, 04:42:18 PM » |
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Although I voted yes, CO seems like the ultimate swing state in this election. But it is possible perhaps that Obama wins Gore states + NV (and then wins in the house), or Gore states + OH. Although CO is more likely to flip before NV or OH, it is still possible for those to flip first based on different turnout scenarios.
As for all the other states on Obama's wish list (FL, VA, MO, IN, GA, MT, ND, NC), I really cant see him losing CO and winning any of those. Those are the states that could end up with Obama if he can swing back to a large PV spread.
Right now I think something that is growing in likelyhood is Obama losing the PV but winning the EV with Gore states plus CO.
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