This is why I would hate to see Specter lose the primary. I just don't see Toomey winning unless the environment is really good for the GOP in 2010.
Based on what? He's trailing his "toughest opponent" by eleven points at a time when the "D" after someone's name usually leaves them with at least a high single digit lead in the General. Plus, that eleven point lead would evaporate once you take away Matthews name recognition advantage and throw in some of his negatives. To only be trailing Murphy and Schwartz by an average of seven points is also awesome given the current climate.
I don't deny the advantages that Specter would have but to view this as terrible news for Toomey is really silly.
I would hope that things are better by 2010 for the GOP. If the Democrats still have the advantage, things for the party will be looking bleak.
Can Toomey win in the Philly suburbs like Specter can? That will be key to him beating whoever he runs against.
