Which state will flip first?
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  Which state will flip first?		 « previous next »
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Poll
Question: Which state is more likely to flip first?
#1
Michigan
#2
Wisconsin
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Author Topic: Which state will flip first?  (Read 311 times)
Senator Spark
Spark498
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Junior Chimp
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« on: June 08, 2016, 05:01:36 PM »
Huh
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MT Treasurer
IndyRep
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« Reply #1 on: June 08, 2016, 05:02:33 PM »
Wisconsin, despite muh early general election polls.
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Green Line
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: June 08, 2016, 05:20:42 PM »
Michigan.  Trump will do well in the Detroit area.
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #3 on: June 08, 2016, 05:21:35 PM »
Normal Election: Wisconsin
This Wacky Election: Michigan
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: June 08, 2016, 05:34:39 PM »
Wisconsin, but Trump's chances of winning it are extremely low.
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Vosem
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« Reply #5 on: June 08, 2016, 05:39:49 PM »
The way you phrased the question, Wisconsin. For Trump, Michigan is likelier than Wisconsin, but it's very unlikely that he flips both, while in a future election Wisconsin is tough but doable for a competitive Republican while Michigan is out of reach except in a very unusual blowout. Thus, Wisconsin flips first, but that first isn't in 2016.
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HAnnA MArin County
semocrat08
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« Reply #6 on: June 08, 2016, 05:41:41 PM »
Quote from: Green Line on June 08, 2016, 05:20:42 PM
Michigan.  Trump will do well in the Detroit area.

LOL yeah but not really.

He won't win either, but Wisconsin will probably be closer.
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Figueira
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« Reply #7 on: June 08, 2016, 05:42:13 PM »
Michigan is more likely to flip first, since the polls generally close earlier there.
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Senator Spark
Spark498
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #8 on: June 08, 2016, 05:55:43 PM »
I personally think he will have a harder time winning WI than MI because he lost there in the primary.
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