CT: Suffolk University: Blumenthal (D) destroys McMahon

[Tender Branson]

New Poll: Connecticut Senator by Suffolk University on 2010-10-20

Summary: D: 57%, R: 39%, I: 2%, U: 2%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Tender Branson]

Hmm, don´t know what to think of Suffolk.

They got the Brown vs. Coakley race right within 1 point, but showed Corzine winning by 9, when he lost by 3. Their Virginia poll was OK with McDonnell ahead by 14.

I think this result is too high, Blumenthal should win by about 56-42 or so.

[Tender Branson]

The strangest thing about this poll is that in Suffolk's own hand-picked bellwether town, Plainfield, Blumenthal only leads by 4, 46-42.  I'm not sure what their bellwether sample size was, but it is totally out of line with the topline.

300 Likely Voters in Plainfield.

http://www.suffolk.edu/images/content/edited.Plainfield.Bellwether.Oct.20.2010.pdf

How did Plainfield vote in 2008 ?

[Tender Branson]

Well, Plainfield was only 54-44 for Obama.

That explains a lot.