2016 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls **live commentary thread**

[SirMuxALot]

That non-college whites margin at R+36 is hard to believe.  If that's somehow not a typo, then we will be up late tonight.

[SirMuxALot]

If accurate, it means it makes a big difference what proportion of the white vote is college educated and what proportion of it is not.

Certainly, but non-college whites are a huge block (46% of the electorate, per 538's swing tool).  If Trump actually succeeded in pushing that big a margin among them, even a flat turnout rate vs. 2012 will be a big bump over Romney.

[SirMuxALot]

Does anyone know if these national exit poll aggregates are somehow time zone embargoed?  I would assume those national exits include all the morning votes in the western time zone, as opposed to just eastern states exits with zeroes for the west states.

Anyone know for sure?

[SirMuxALot]

For reference, 2012 Party ID

D 38
R 32
I 29

Per: http://winstongroup.net/wp-content/uploads/2012/state-party-id-ideology-2012.pdf

[SirMuxALot]

And most of the night went down the Atlas memory hole.

Seriously, kudos to keeping the server up for most of the day earlier.  It was always inevitable that it would go down later.