heatcharger
Junior Chimp
Posts: 5,479
Political Matrix E: -1.04, S: -0.24
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« on: July 19, 2016, 10:44:48 PM » |
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I don't think so. Bush had a pretty high floor, he was a "wartime president" because of Iraq, which wasn't super unpopular yet. It didn't hurt he had a far more competent campaign and some resemblance of a strategy.
The electoral map in 2004 was also far friendlier to the Republicans. States like WI, PA, NH, NM, and NV, which nowadays are at least Lean D, were states Bush was very competitive in. It also helped that VA and NC were Likely R at the time. Trump literally only has one path to victory: Romney + FL + OH + PA.
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