Remaining votes (Update: about 500K ballots left to count nationwide)

[Tender Branson]

In OH, there are still 300.000 absentees and provisional ballots left to count.

Does anyone know the number from other states ?

[Tender Branson]

There must be another something like 4 million mail in ballots for CA left to be counted.  Should make it something like Clinton +1.5% nationally when those votes are counted.

That would be awesome, because I predicted a 134 million turnout. It's at 129 million now.

[Tender Branson]

100.000s of ballots are left to count in CO:

135.000 alone in Denver and 20.000 in Boulder.

http://www.denverpost.com/2016/11/09/denver-counting-ballots-monday-voting-crush/

[Tender Branson]

Apparently, most of what is left to count in CO is election day votes:

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[Tender Branson]

Maricopa County (AZ) has about 500.000 ballots left to count as of today:

http://www.tucsonnewsnow.com/story/33673166/nearly-half-a-million-ballots-still-need-to-be-counted-in-maricopa-county

[Tender Branson]

San Diego County has 620.000 ballots left to count, Orange County 411.000

Which probably means CA as a whole has 4-5 million ballots left to count.

[Tender Branson]

CA still has 4-5 million ballots left to count, WA has 850K left, AZ probably between 600-800K, CO more than 200K.

If everything is in, Hillary could lead by up to 2% in the national popular vote.

[Tender Branson]

And Michigan and Wisconsin? Are there still votes to be counted? Both are extremely close.

This election looks a lot like 1876.

No, MI is fully counted. Probably some overseas military ballots are left, but they are lean-Trump.

[Tender Branson]

There are actually 672.000 ballots left to be counted in AZ.

[Tender Branson]

Washington probably has nearly a million yet to be counted.

844.586 as of today.

http://results.vote.wa.gov/results/current/Turnout.html

[Tender Branson]

Did a quick calculation:

If Hillary wins the remaining 6-7 million ballots by 60-35, she will increase her national popular vote margin from the current 0.2% to around 1.5%

Hillary will then have around 48.2% and Trump 46.7%

[Tender Branson]

CA update (without San Diego and 2 other counties):

The official total — 4,362,087 ballots — will undoubtedly change and possibly even grow over the next few days. Three counties, including vote-rich San Diego County, did not submit an estimate of unprocessed ballots for Thursday night's statewide report.

http://www.latimes.com/politics/essential/la-pol-ca-essential-politics-updates-there-are-more-than-4-million-ballots-1478828215-htmlstory.html

San Diego has more than 600K ballots left, as I posted earlier. So CA has about 5 million ballots left (maybe more because ballots will come in until next Monday if they are postmarked by Nov. 8 )

[Tender Branson]

UT has about 250.000 ballots left to count:

https://www.ksl.com/?sid=42155356&nid=148

[Tender Branson]

Hopefully this gives Clinton a nice cushy PV margin. If only PA/MI/WI had robust early voting...

Doesn't change a thing: see FL and NC.

[Tender Branson]

Trump will have won the most number of votes any GOP candidate in history beating out Bush II 2004's 62 million performance.

Yeah, but there were 30 million fewer eligible voters back in 2004 ...

[Tender Branson]

Could MN end up voting very slightly to the right of the US ?

The current final margin there is H+1.51

Nationally, Hillary could also end up ahead with about 1.5% when all ballots are counted.

[Tender Branson]

Not the final map yet, but:

[Tender Branson]

Looks like total turnout could hit some 136 million ...

There are still about 3-4 million ballots left in CA and a couple million in other states.

This would mean 59% turnout, the same as in 2012.

[Tender Branson]

Looks like total turnout could hit some 136 million ...

There are still about 3-4 million ballots left in CA and a couple million in other states.

This would mean 59% turnout, the same as in 2012.

No. There are max. 2.5 million left in CA. Not more.

Citation needed

http://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/statewide-elections/2016-general/unprocessed-ballots-report.pdf

The link says 3.1 million (as of yesterday).

[Tender Branson]

So, what's left to count ?

2.8 million ballots in CA (of which there are 1.34 million provisionals). AZ results show that about 70% of provisional ballots are ruled valid.

So, probably 2.4 million ballots will be added in CA over the next weeks.

OH has about 300.000 ballots left.

And there are some other states which have a lot of counting still going on, like WA/AZ/CO/NY/FL etc.

[Tender Branson]

Big ones left are (estimated)
 
CA    2.2 million
OH   320K
WA   200K
FL     160K
AZ    150K
CO     80K
GA     80K

CA should be more like 2.4 million left.

NY I guess still counts ten thousands of votes, they are only finished 4 weeks after GE day.

Also, is UT done already ?

[Tender Branson]

I wonder if total turnout could hit 60% of the VEP ...

Because we are currently already at 133 million counted ballots for President alone, with about 4 million left.

And "total ballots counted" is always a bit higher than all ballots counted for President, so it could hit 138-139 million after all is done, which would be exactly 60% of the 231.6 million eligible voters.

[Tender Branson]

IL has a lot of ballots left to count as well:

https://www.elections.il.gov/VotingInformation/UncountedBallots.aspx

I didn't add them all up, but my guesstimate is about 200K from quickly looking over it.

I also guess the Cook County and Chicago totals are different counts, which means the Chicago numbers are not included in the Cook County totals.

[Tender Branson]

NV is still adding votes ...

The current count for Hillary on the SOS page is about 2.000 higher than on the Atlas results page.

Hillary is now up by 2.5%

Also, CO is still adding votes too:

Hillary is almost up by 5% now.

[Tender Branson]

I'm hearing that there are enough provisional ballots out in Ohio to flip the state.

LOL, no.

There are about 261.000 ballots left to count in OH and Trump is already ahead by more than 450.000

https://vote.ohio.gov