Official US 2010 Census Results

[Tender Branson]

It will be released in exactly 1 week:



http://2010.census.gov/2010census/data/interactivemap.php

Can anyone please sticky this ?

[Tender Branson]

"Fulfilling its constitutional mandate, the U.S. Census Bureau will release the first set of 2010 Census data at a news conference Tuesday, Dec. 21 at 11 a.m. EST at the National Press Club in Washington, D.C.

The 2010 Census data to be released include the resident population for the nation and the states as well as the congressional apportionment totals for each state. The law requires the Census Bureau to report these results to the President by Dec. 31."

[Tender Branson]

Oh, and move it to the demographics board maybe?

Please No, it gets more attention here !

Keep it please here for at least 1 month, then move it.

[Tender Branson]

Here are the calculated April 1, 2010 benchmark numbers for comparison purposes:

Column 1 = April 1, 2010 population
Column 2 =  July 1, 2009 population
Column 3 =  July 1, 2008 population
Column 4 = Population growth between July 2008 and July 2009
Column 5 = Percentage growth between July 2008 and July 2009
Column 6 = Population growth between 2008 and 2009 * 0.75 to project April 1, 2000 population
Column 7 = 2000 Census Count
Column 8 = Population growth between 2000 Census and projected 2010 Census count

[Tender Branson]

Do you think there will be big errors relative to Mid-2009 estimates ?

Here's a quick overview of CB estimate errors in the 2000 Census:

Percentage Error (Estimates vs. Census Count by state)



Numerical Error (Estimates vs. Census Count by state)

[Tender Branson]

I guess the county and city data will be released sometime next year ?

[Tender Branson]

Just saw the results, but don't have a lot of time for analysis because I´m off to work:



The green states had larger numerical gains this decade than in the 90s.

Obama loses a net 6 EV in 2012.

I´m really surprised that the overall figure is not higher, maybe the 2000 Census was a slight overcount.

It also looks like states who had high (or higher compared with 2000) mail-in participation have better growth than other states (see North Carolina or Texas).

More later.

[Tender Branson]

Can anyone make a % gain map?

Here are the maps:

[Tender Branson]

I just found out that the US population actually grew by 500.000 more than what was said in the official release.

Why ?

U.S. military and federal civilian employees and their dependents living with them overseas.

This number was much smaller in 2000 than it was in 2010, because the US was not engaged in 2 wars in 2000 like it is now.

Just take a look at this table here, which gives apportionment data for 2010 and 2000:

http://2010.census.gov/news/xls/apport2010_table1.xls

Apportionment population for 2010 was: 309.183.463

Then you have to add D.C. for a total population of 309.785.186

As you can see, in 2010 there were about 1.040.000 Americans overseas in the military.

For 2000, the number was just 574.000 (Apportionment population: 281.424.177+DC, for a total population of 281.996.236)

This means that roughly 500.000 Americans who were counted in the 2000 Census as "residents" where not counted this year because they have migrated overseas for military service.

[Tender Branson]

I just found out that the US population actually grew by 500.000 more than what was said in the official release.

Why ?

U.S. military and federal civilian employees and their dependents living with them overseas.

This number was much smaller in 2000 than it was in 2010, because the US was not engaged in 2 wars in 2000 like it is now.

Just take a look at this table here, which gives apportionment data for 2010 and 2000:

http://2010.census.gov/news/xls/apport2010_table1.xls

Apportionment population for 2010 was: 309.183.463

Then you have to add D.C. for a total population of 309.785.186

As you can see, in 2010 there were about 1.040.000 Americans overseas in the military.

For 2000, the number was just 574.000 (Apportionment population: 281.424.177+DC, for a total population of 281.996.236)

This means that roughly 500.000 Americans who were counted in the 2000 Census as "residents" where not counted this year because they have migrated overseas for military service.

The apportionment population does not include any of D.C.'s data it seems, that's why I have to add the overseas population of D.C. to and then it sums up really well:

2010 Resident Population (incl. DC): 308.745.538
2010 Overseas Population (incl. DC): 1.042.523
2010 Total Population: 309.788.061

2010 Overseas population by state: http://2010.census.gov/news/pdf/apport2010_table3.pdf

2000 Resident Population (incl. DC): 281.421.906
2000 Overseas Population (incl. DC): 576.367
2000 Total Population: 281.998.273

2000 Overseas population by state: http://www.census.gov/population/cen2000/tab03.pdf

...

Conclusion: A total of 466.156 people were counted in the 2000 Census that have not been counted this year because they went overseas for the Military.

Also: Texas has overtaken California as the state with most people overseas in the military.

[Tender Branson]

Here´s a chart I made of the overseas military population and their family members in the 2000 and 2010 Census and percentage growth:

[Tender Branson]

Wow, take a look at Detroit:

Detroit’s population plunged 25% in the past decade to 713,777, the lowest level since 1910, four years before Henry Ford offered $5 a day to autoworkers, sparking a boom that quadrupled Detroit’s size in the first half of the 20th Century.

Census figures released to the Free Press -- by a government source who asked not be identified because the data has not been released publicly -- show the city lost 238,270 — on average, one resident every 22 minutes between 2001 and 2010.

The data also show that Wayne County’s population fell almost 12% to 1,820,584. Oakland County grew almost 1% to 1,202,362, while Macomb grew 6.7% to 840,978 — making the county more populous than Detroit for the first time.

Detroit, once America’s fourth most populous city, will fall below Midwestern neighbors like Columbus, Ohio, and Indianapolis, Ind.

Fueled by the implosion of the domestic auto industry, the Motor City’s decline helped make Michigan the only state to experience a net population loss since 2000. Overall, the state’s population fell by about 54,000 people, a 0.6% decline at a time when the nation’s population grew about 9.7%.

http://www.freep.com/article/20110322/NEWS06/110322036