Premilinary 2013 Birth Report Released (user search)
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  Premilinary 2013 Birth Report Released (search mode)
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Author Topic: Premilinary 2013 Birth Report Released  (Read 417 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« on: July 06, 2014, 02:43:56 AM »

The US birth rate is now 1.25%, while the death rate is 0.82%

The natural increase is therefore 0.43%

The US population was 318.35 Mio. on July 1, 2014 - which is up by 2.22 Mio. from the 316.13 Mio. on July 1, 2013 - or up by 0.70%

Which means that slightly more than 61% of the US' population growth comes from births minus deaths, while ca. 39% comes from immigration.

The US will likely pass the 400 Mio. around 2051, if the current trend continues.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,197
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

« Reply #1 on: July 06, 2014, 03:02:48 AM »

While the US birth rate will likely continue to go down over the next decades to around 1% or 1.1%, the death rate will likely continue to be lower than that, but could rise to 0.9% because of the aging population.

It's also possible that the US keeps a slightly positive immigration balance in the future, with maybe African/Asian immigrants being the new Mexicans.

Which would mean the US would continue to grow by around 0.4-0.6% in the next decades.

Long-term projections are difficult, but there's a chance the US hits 500 Mio. people by 2100.
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