What state is more likely to vote R on 2016?
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  What state is more likely to vote R on 2016?		 « previous next »
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Question: Which state
#1
New Hamphsire		  
#2
Iowa		  
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Total Voters: 56

Author Topic: What state is more likely to vote R on 2016?  (Read 2015 times)
I Will Not Be Wrong
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« on: December 31, 2013, 07:38:28 PM »
Well..
Iowa or New Hampshire?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: December 31, 2013, 07:42:19 PM »
Hillary plays much better in New Hampshire than Iowa (see 2008 primaries). So Iowa.
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politicus
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« Reply #2 on: December 31, 2013, 07:42:40 PM »
New Hampshire for a generic R.
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I Will Not Be Wrong
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« Reply #3 on: December 31, 2013, 08:12:24 PM »
I voted for New Hampshire, but I see your points.
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Supersonic
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« Reply #4 on: December 31, 2013, 09:31:46 PM »
Iowa.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #5 on: December 31, 2013, 09:34:28 PM »
Iowa, clearly.
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Deus Naturae
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« Reply #6 on: December 31, 2013, 09:47:09 PM »
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #7 on: December 31, 2013, 11:16:48 PM »
Tough call, there both about the same PVI wise, but republicans have been actually able to win elections in Iowa recently (besides 2010 for NH), so I'll say Iowa.
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RosettaStoned
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« Reply #8 on: January 01, 2014, 03:42:37 AM »
 Iowa, barely.
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Wolverines34
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« Reply #9 on: January 01, 2014, 05:37:58 PM »
Iowa (If Hillary runs, Christie could snag NH tho).
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Mr. Illini
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« Reply #10 on: January 03, 2014, 01:10:32 AM »
Cautiously went with Iowa, but Christie could have big appeal up in NH.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #11 on: January 03, 2014, 01:29:57 AM »
Hillary vs. Any Republican, Iowa.

Non-Hillary Democrat vs. Any Republican but Christie, Iowa.

Non-Hillary Democrat vs. Christie, New Hampshire...maybe... kind of depends who the Democrat is.

So yeah, Iowa.
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Matty
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« Reply #12 on: January 03, 2014, 04:23:59 AM »
I would say Iowa, but it all depends on the candidate. Scott Walker and Paul Ryan would probably perform better in Iowa than NH, while Christie would probably over perform in Nh.
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Mister Mets
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« Reply #13 on: January 03, 2014, 06:08:53 PM »
Interesting question. These two states were very close (less than a fifth of a point) to one another in 2008 and 2012.

I'd imagine both states will go to the winner of the General Election.

I'll guess New Hampshire has a slightly better chance of going Republican, partly because there's a non-trivial chance a Republican from the state will be on a national ticket.
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