To 2012 and beyond

[bloombergforpresident]

October 12, 2011- The New York Times does an article that accuses Gingrich is cheating on his wife again. Gingrich strongly denies the claim but his poll numbers collapse.

Republican Nomination-October 16, 2011
Romney 30%
Huckabee 27%
Pawlenty 13%
Trump 13%
Gingrich 7%
Daniels 5%
Paul 2%
Barbour 1%
Bolton 1%
Other 1%


Meanwhile, speculation that Sarah Palin increases with Gingrich's Tea Party campaign failing.

[bloombergforpresident]

October 23, 2011- Barack Obama officially launches his campaign in Chicago, Il with a crowd of almost 50,000 on hand.

"We have had almost three years of solid progress. Now the question is- will we side with the people that got us into this mess or the people that are getting us out of this mess. If you want more failure and more war, go ahead, vote Republican but if you want America to be at peace and prosperous than vote for the party in power"

November 3, 2011- In a suprise resignation, Tim Geithner resigns from the Secretary of Treasury because of "personal matters". Obama is considering many candidates, including a Republican to replace him.

Election Day 2011 is next

[bloombergforpresident]

CNN ELECTION NIGHT
"Good Evening and welcome to CNN Election Night 2011. Two govenor's races and many other races are up for grabs tonight. It's 7:00 on the East Coast and polls are closing in Kentucky. And with 1% in- this race is to early to call. Govenor Steve Beshar is trying to fend off a challenge from State Senator David Williams and recent polling indicates that this race may be very close."

8:00 PM-"Polls are now closing in Missisppi and as of now- we can make projection! CNN can project based of exit polls that Amy Tuck, former Lt. Govenor will defeat Jim Hood, the attorney general of Mississippi by a fairly large margin to suceed Haley Barbour, A presidential candidate to the Govenor's Mansion. This win was widely expected because of Missisippi serious red-state trend in the past half-century

10:34 PM-Hold that thought for a moment, Candy- we have a projection to make. CNN can now project that Govenor Steve Beshar will be defeated in his reelection bid by State Senator David Williams. With 56% of the results win, Williams is leading by a big margin.

FINAL RESULTS
MISSISIPPI
AMY TUCK 57%
JIM HOOD 40%
OTHER 3%

KENTUCKY
DAVID WILLIAMS 51%
STEVE BESHAR 46%
OTHER  3%

By thw way- In April, Emanuel becomes Mayor of Chicago and Jindal wins reelction in LA

[bloombergforpresident]

Questions? Comments?

[bloombergforpresident]

November 14, 2011- In the Republican debate, the candidates hammer Gingrich for his cheating scandal. Earlier that day, Palin revokes her endorsement of Newt. She says-"I can simply not endorse a man who is immoral and goes against what I believe in. We need a person that can really lead" After the press conference speculation increases that Sarah Palin may enter the race. Meanwhile, Mike Bloomberg and Lou Dobbs have both announced they will not run for president in 2012.

November 16, 2011- President Obama nominates Warren Buuffet, billionare investor, for the Secretary of Treasury. His nomination easily clears the Senate and over 70% of Americans support the nomination.

December 1, 2011- Newt Gingrich officially withdrawls from the Republican race.

December 3, 2011- Sarah Palin announces she will launch a write-in bid fro the nomination. Unemployment is 8.8%


December 3, 2011- At a rally in Tampa Bay, FL Sarah Palin announces that she will stage a write in campaign for the nomination in 2012. She urges Tea Partiers to vote for her saying people need a new leader

[feeblepizza]

Even though Sarah is running a write-in campaign, I think I would still have to support Mitch. I think that Trump may show us something....

[bloombergforpresident]

Update Later Today

[bloombergforpresident]

December 9, 2011- A new GOP poll comes out with suprising results-Write In Palin is in second
Republican Nomination
Romney 24%
Palin 23%
Huckabee 19%
Trump 13%
Pawlenty 11%
Daniels 6%
Barbour 2%
Paul 1%
Bolton 1%

This is not good news for the Huckabee campaign because they have dropped to third place and have lost the title of main challenger to Romney. Early State polling is also out.

IOWA                           N.H                                                                                                                                          Romney 24%                          Romney 23%
Huckabee 24%                       Trump 22%
Palin 20%                               Pawlenty 18%
Pawlenty 17%                        Palin 15%
Daniels 7%                             Huckabee 14%
Trump 5%                               Daniels 3%
Barbour 1%                            Paul 3%
Bolton 1%                               Bolton 1%
Paul 1%                                  Barbour 1%      

                

[Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!]

How is Ron Paul hovering around 2%? Did he eat a baby on television? He started at 1% in 2008 and rose to about 10% or so in the end. He is starting around 10% now, so how does he end up with less than he started at

[bloombergforpresident]

Palin takes away the insurgency that Paul had plus he is not running a very active campaign.

[bloombergforpresident]

December 19, 2011- The Republican candidates, led by Trump exclude Sarah Palin from their debate in New York City hosted by CBS. In response, Palin organizes a massive rally in Madison Square Garden to protest. Glenn Beck and other Tea Party ralliers also make speeches in support of Palin. It turns out to beat the debate in ratings.

January 1, 2012- As 2011 turns into 2012 it seems that Iowa has turned into a Romney vs. Huckabee vs. Palin race with all four buying heavy ad time there and polling about even

January 12, 2012- In the final Iowa Republican debate, Donald Trump a noncontender warns-"If we elect Sarah Palin for our nomination, there is now way, no how we can win."

[bloombergforpresident]

HUCKABEE WINS IOWA-PALIN TAKES THIRD PLACE
January 16, 2012- For the second straight election cycle, Mike Huckabee is the projected winner of the Iowa Caucuses.

RESULTS
Mike Huckabee 31.3%
Mitt Romney 26.8%
Sarah Palin 21.5%
Tim Pawlenty 8.8%
Mitch Daniels  4.6%
Donald Trump 4.0%
Ron Paul  2.1%
Haley Barbour 0.5%
John Bolton 0.3%
Other 0.1%
Huckabee greeting fans after his win

Barbour and Bolton drop out do to lower than projected numbers. Most politicos agree its a three way race.

[Niemeyerite]

I'm really supporting mr. trump in this TL: I always thought he would make a general election a lot more exciting than they usually are

[bloombergforpresident]

January 19, 2012- The New Hampshire Primary is turning out to be a fight between Trump and Romney. The latest polls shows the two almost even with Pawlenty and Palin battling for third place.

GOP NOMINATION-NEW HAMPSHIRE
Romney 30%
Trump 29%
Pawlenty 15%
Palin 12%
Huckabee 9%
Paul 3%
Daniels 2%

Trump is putting all he has into New Hampshire and hopes to ride the momentum of a win and get the nomination.

Janaury 21, 2012- In the FOX News New Hampshire Debate(which includes Palin) voters begin to see the divide between the frontrunners. Palin is mostly representing blue collar, working class people that are angry at the government and are very conservative while Mike Huckabee does well among the Christan Right and Romney is mostly based off of white collars and social moderates. However, Palin delivers the line of the night. When asked about overturning Roe vs. Wade Palin says "I think the...uhh...Kagan Court will probably not overturn this"She had obviously forgotten the name of Chief Justice John Roberts and put in Justice Kagan's. Romney slams her for the remark. He says-"how can we trust a woman who does not know the name of the chief justice to run our country!"

[bloombergforpresident]

ROMNEY WINS EXTREMELY NARROW VICTORY IN NH
In a very close primary, Mitt Romney has defeated Donald Trump.

Results
Mitt Romney 30.6%
Donald Trump 30.5%
Tim Pawlenty 16.7%
Sarah Palin 11.3%
Mike Huckabee 7.9%
Ron Paul 2.2%
Mitch Daniels 0.8%

After bad results, Daniels and Paul exit the race and it becomes a five-person race.


 

[bloombergforpresident]

Current Delegate Count: Romney 18
                                        Huckabee 15
                                        Palin 12
                                        Trump 9
                                        Pawlenty 8
                                        Daniels 2-OUT 
                                        Paul-2 OUT    

After New Hampshire Trump focuses on Super Tuesday in a
hope to win a few states. Menwhile upcoming primary and caucus polls are released.

South Carolina
Huckabee 34%
Palin 32%
Romney 20%
Trump 7%
Pawlenty 7%

In this conservative state, Palin is trying to win with the endorsement of Nikki Haley and Jim Demint but Huckabee is still winning over the Christan Right and has a narrow lead.

Nevada
Romney 45%
Palin 19%
Huckabee 17%
Trump 12%
Pawlenty 7%

Due to the high Mormon population, Mitt Romney has a large lead and most likely will take an easy win.

Florida
Huckabee 28%
Romney 27%
Palin 22%
Trump 14%
Pawlenty 9%

In a close three way race, it should be the highlight of the early primaries .                                                     

[Niemeyerite]

maybe trump can post a 2nd place in Nevada... I hope so =)

[bloombergforpresident]

HUCKABEE WINS SOUTH CAROLINA, PALIN FINISHES FAR BEHIND, PAWLENTY DROPS OUT
In a larger than expected victory, Mike Huckabee wil win in South Carolina

S.C RESULTS
Mike Huckabee 39.6%
Sarah Palin 23.5%
Mitt Romney 22.0%
Donald Trump 9.6%
Tim Pawlenty 5.3%

Romney also won any easy Nevada Victory

NEVADA RESULTS
Mitt Romney 50.4%
Mike Huckabee 17.7%
Sarah Palin 14.9%
Donald Trump 14.1%
Tim Pawlenty 2.9%

Pawlenty Drops out.

Red-Huckabee
Blue-Romney

[bloombergforpresident]

Meanwhile, Unemployment is holding steady at 8.6%, President Obama has approval now at 48%.

Congress:In Nevada, Shelley Berkley was nominated to face off against John Ensign.

These are all things I forgot to put in the last post

[Niemeyerite]

I can't see how trump will win the nomination... So, definitely, go Obama! (I'd support him anyways)

[bloombergforpresident]

HUCKABEE WINS FLORIDA, TRUMP PLACES SECOND, PALIN FINISHES LAST
January 31, 2012-It looks like Mike Huckabee will win Florida's Primary.

Results
Mike Huckabee 35.6%
Donald Trump 31.1%
Mitt Romney 20.9%
Sarah Palin 12.4%

Palin's poor showing was mainly becuase of 39% of the electorate(all republicans) thought she was not quakified to be President. Huckabee is being considered by most the frontrunner at this point.

In the Florida Senate Election, Debbie Wasserman Shultz was nominated to face off against Connie Mack IV to take retiring Bill Nelson's Senate seat.

 

[bloombergforpresident]

Delegate Count
Huckabee 80
Romney 68
Trump 54
Palin 42
Pawlenty 11 OUT                                                                                                               Daniels 2 OUT
Paul 2 OUT

[Niemeyerite]

Trumpentum!!! I really hope he wins.

[bloombergforpresident]

As Super Tuesday nears, Palin is trying to make her campaign rise again after several tough losses while Huckabee is attempting to seal his status as frontrunner. The following list shows what candidates lead in each state in the polls.

Alabama-Huckabee has a large lead in this bible belt stae

Arkansas-Huckabee has a HUGE lead because Arkansas is his home state

California-Romney has a nine point lead over Trump in this solid left state

Conneticutt-Romney-Trump are tied in this New England state

Deleware-Romney has a big lead

Georgia-Romney-Palin are about tied in this important state

Illinois-Huckabee-Romney Huckabee is leading downstate while Romney has strength around Chicago

Missouri-Huckabee is offsetting Romney's strength in the suburbs but this swing state may flip

New Jersey-Romney-Trump are very close together in this state

New York-Trump has a small lead over Romney

Olklahoma-Huckabee has a 12 point lead in Olklahoma

Tennesee-Huckabee has a big lead in this conservative state

Utah-Romney has a large lead because of his mormon faith

Polling-Nomination
Huckabee 32%
Romney 27%
Palin 21%
Trump 20%

[Niemeyerite]

If trump wins Ny and CA... he could decide who's the republican presidential candidate =)