MN Sen Recount (UPDATE: Stuart Smalley certified winner, lawsuit forthcoming)
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  MN Sen Recount (UPDATE: Stuart Smalley certified winner, lawsuit forthcoming)
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Author Topic: MN Sen Recount (UPDATE: Stuart Smalley certified winner, lawsuit forthcoming)  (Read 120715 times)
Lunar
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« Reply #900 on: December 30, 2008, 01:47:40 PM »

He NEVER predicted a Jim Martin victory, on election night or otherwise, WTF?

Correct. As I recall he thought it would be close with Obama turnout and said he wouldn't be surprised if Martin won. That's not predicting a Martin victory.

In general he seems extremely skeptical of Martin's chances late in the game

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/search/label/georgia

I have no idea what VanderBlubb is smoking since he never predicted any result.




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Holmes
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« Reply #901 on: December 30, 2008, 01:47:47 PM »

He NEVER predicted a Jim Martin victory, on election night or otherwise, WTF?
He had Martin at around  10% win, what a hack!! Roll Eyes
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Lunar
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« Reply #902 on: December 30, 2008, 01:49:07 PM »

He NEVER predicted a Jim Martin victory, on election night or otherwise, WTF?
He had Martin at around  10% win, what a hack!! Roll Eyes

And that was on election night, when he only lost by 3% or so.
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emailking
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« Reply #903 on: December 30, 2008, 01:49:49 PM »

Amusingly, Nate Silver's track record is only good when it comes to predicting Democratic victories.

That doesn't even make any sense. If he predicts Republican victories and tends to get them wrong, he isn't good at predicting democratic victories because he missed many.
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Saxwsylvania
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« Reply #904 on: December 30, 2008, 01:52:47 PM »
« Edited: December 30, 2008, 01:55:07 PM by Vander Blubb »

Wow, attack the savior and you get six responses in five minutes.

Nate Silver is a hack.  2008 was a Democrat year.  The next time that there's a level playing field, Silver will be off so much that people will wonder why we ever listened to him.  His predictions may be 'accurate' but his analysis is always terrible, filled with liberal cheerleading.  If you can't see that, then you're stupid.  Next.
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Lunar
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« Reply #905 on: December 30, 2008, 01:58:07 PM »

Wow, attack the savior and you get six responses in five minutes.

Nate Silver is a hack.  2008 was a Democrat year.  The next time that there's a level playing field, Silver will be off so much that people will wonder why we ever listened to him.  His predictions may be 'accurate' but his analysis is always terrible, filled with liberal cheerleading.  If you can't see that, then you're stupid.  Next.

Of course his analysis is a Democratic hack, but if you're going to post stupid-ass, obviously false claims that make you look stupid and uninformed, you're going to be quickly rejected.   Next.
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emailking
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« Reply #906 on: December 30, 2008, 01:58:37 PM »

Wow, attack the savior and you get six responses in five minutes.

Nate Silver is a hack.  2008 was a Democrat year.  The next time that there's a level playing field, Silver will be off so much that people will wonder why we ever listened to him.  His predictions may be 'accurate' but his analysis is always terrible, filled with liberal cheerleading.  If you can't see that, then you're stupid.  Next.

That may all be true, but none of it obviates the fact that you mocked him by falsely claimed he made a prediction that was actually never made.
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BRTD
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« Reply #907 on: December 30, 2008, 02:12:50 PM »

You guys are taking what Vander Blubb says seriously. Big mistake there.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #908 on: December 30, 2008, 02:23:18 PM »

assert that homeschooling should be illegal,
Never heard a sane person who was not an American citizen claim any different.
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emailking
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« Reply #909 on: December 30, 2008, 02:29:47 PM »

All of that "analysis" written by Sean, their on the ground reporter, not Nate.
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emailking
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« Reply #910 on: December 30, 2008, 03:48:02 PM »

Better question: why won't you just admit you effed up by making a claim (a few in fact) that panned out to be false? Could it be because you are stubborn and cannot stand to be perceived as having lost face?
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Holmes
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« Reply #911 on: December 30, 2008, 06:08:01 PM »

Omg, emailking knows the name of a person who writes articles on the site. You're such a 538 hack. Smiley
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I spent the winter writing songs about getting better
BRTD
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« Reply #912 on: December 30, 2008, 09:48:23 PM »

assert that homeschooling should be illegal,
Never heard a sane person who was not an American citizen claim any different.

So Gully isn't sane? I agree totally.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #913 on: December 30, 2008, 11:18:53 PM »

The Blubb has spoken.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #914 on: December 31, 2008, 04:34:07 AM »

assert that homeschooling should be illegal,
Never heard a sane person who was not an American citizen claim any different.


So you believe that children are basically instruments for government indoctrination?  Sick.

Nature has given us the family for a reason.
Correction: Nature has given us society for a reason.
The family (the core family, that is. Not the extended family. Which really used to be the same thing as society anyways. The core family as pretending-to-be-self-contained unit.) is a 19th ideological construct and wholly unnatural to man.
It's actually a later invention than compulsory schooling.
And yes, obviously the government-run school system has indoctrination issues as well. Though obviously not on the same scale. As do private schools. It's not, after all, possible to tell where education ends and indoctrination begins, exactly.[/serious reply to troll comment]

Which answers your query too, Red - me'n Gully aren't too far apart (though sane he isn't, not quite. But that's a different story).
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Flying Dog
Jtfdem
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« Reply #915 on: December 31, 2008, 01:05:04 PM »

Not sure if someone has posted this yet:

The Board of Canvassers expect to have a winner certified next week after the MN Supreme Court ruled that the rejected absentees must be counted by this Friday.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #916 on: December 31, 2008, 01:30:54 PM »

HEY!

We had such a nice thread hijack going here!
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emailking
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« Reply #917 on: December 31, 2008, 02:00:16 PM »

Not sure if someone has posted this yet:

The Board of Canvassers expect to have a winner certified next week after the MN Supreme Court ruled that the rejected absentees must be counted by this Friday.

The incoming Congress is sworn in on the 6th right? That gives them all of Monday to deal with the challenges from the absentee counting and then to certify the results. Sounds doable.
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Holmes
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« Reply #918 on: December 31, 2008, 02:06:52 PM »

Would anyone be surprised if Norm got more absentee votes than Franken?

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minionofmidas
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« Reply #919 on: December 31, 2008, 02:09:02 PM »

The date is not different but the dating intent was, I'm sure.
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JohnnyLongtorso
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« Reply #920 on: December 31, 2008, 03:57:12 PM »

Would anyone be surprised if Norm got more absentee votes than Franken?

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Er, actually, she voted for Coleman. The article says so.

Regardless, this whole signature thing seems like kind of a dumb rule.
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Holmes
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« Reply #921 on: December 31, 2008, 05:13:17 PM »

No kidding. I'm just saying, both camps were so picky during this whole thing... actually, wouldn't it be better for a third party to look through the ballots? I know no one is really 100% objective, but it's better than being openly bias...
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BRTD
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« Reply #922 on: December 31, 2008, 06:36:22 PM »

No kidding. I'm just saying, both camps were so picky during this whole thing... actually, wouldn't it be better for a third party to look through the ballots? I know no one is really 100% objective, but it's better than being openly bias...

Well unfortunately you don't sit on the Minnesota Supreme Court, because they developed the rules here.
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Meeker
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« Reply #923 on: January 01, 2009, 05:18:07 AM »
« Edited: January 01, 2009, 04:14:42 PM by VP Meeker »

Not only are the dates not required to match in order for the vote to be counted, the signatures aren't required to be dated in order for the vote to count.

Coleman is scum.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #924 on: January 01, 2009, 05:32:34 AM »

He'll be out of the Senate and in jail soon. Don't worry.
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