Quinnipiac National: Clinton +7/+10 (user search)
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  Quinnipiac National: Clinton +7/+10 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac National: Clinton +7/+10  (Read 4387 times)
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« on: August 25, 2016, 12:26:37 PM »
« edited: August 25, 2016, 12:39:22 PM by Maxwell »

YUUUUUGE VICTORY

this is generally in line a large chunk of state polls that show double digit wins in PA, VA, CO, and a single digit race in MO, AZ, and GA.

If you average the three real pollsters within the last week (Economist/YouGov (C+3), Quinnipiac (C+10), NBCNews/SM (C+8)), we get Clinton at 49.3%, which is so close to 50% you can taste it, while Trump lags behind at 42.3%. The bounce may be fading, but boy is it fading slowly.

obviously not counting Reuters (C+7) and L.A. Times (C+0) because I'm not a moron.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #1 on: August 25, 2016, 12:42:31 PM »
« Edited: August 25, 2016, 12:44:07 PM by Maxwell »

the biggest failure for the Donald is not non-white voters, but white voters. He only leads Clinton by 11 among whites. This is a disaster for him, and shows that going full on for non-college educated whites completely and totally alienates college-educated whites.

The favorables are also damning:
Clinton - 41/53 (-12)
Trump - 33/61 (-28)

and literally 64% of Trump voters are anti-Clinton, not pro-Trump. There goes the whole "secret enthusiastic Trump supporter theory".
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #2 on: August 25, 2016, 06:40:28 PM »

he has to win whites by a lot more than Romney won them, and he's shedding white voters, not gaining them.
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Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

« Reply #3 on: August 25, 2016, 07:15:01 PM »


I've generally been more sympathetic to Quinnpiac, who generally have a terrible (and deeply Republican leaning) track record in Colorado but otherwise are okay if a bit dodgy sometimes.
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