Is Landrieu done for? DSCC cancels many of their ad buys in LA markets.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

The DSCC started pulling ads right after the 4th. Old news.

I'm not ruling out anything at this point, and I expect Landrieu to get the 42% she got on the 4th, and likely a bit higher, but her path to 50% is very very very hard to see without support from the national party. Even if the senate passes and the president signs Keystone, it won't help significantly because Cassidy is a sponsor of the house version and would be in the majority party on the energy committee, while Landrieu would be in the minority party of said committee and would no longer be its chair. The runoff will have even lower turnout than the midterm election itself, further benefiting Cassidy, and there aren't going to be a lot of Maness voters staying home, as Maness is actively campaigning for Cassidy.

The runoff is still weeks away, so let's wait and see if a miracle comes to be, but I'm currently expecting an 8-14 point Cassidy win, and would be extremely surprised if Landrieu pulls it out.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Did the NRSC pull out too?

Nope.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Here's the real question: Does Landrieu get a higher or lower share of the vote in the runoff than in the general?

Thinking slightly higher.

Hopefully some legitimate pollster takes a look at the race.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Did the NRSC pull out too?

Nope.

They're pulling out according to Daily Kos for Nov 20-26.

I'm glad Keystone failed. No Mary Landrieu bailout Act of 2014.

Even if Keystone had passed and the president signed it, Landrieu would still probably lose.