Top Dem and Rep results, by state
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  Top Dem and Rep results, by state
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Author Topic: Top Dem and Rep results, by state  (Read 31443 times)
minionofmidas
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« Reply #75 on: January 15, 2005, 06:55:26 AM »
« edited: December 02, 2008, 01:44:23 PM by Farack Abu Mawusi »

Prediction:

For KY top GOP is almost always Jackson, top Dem is almost always Elliot
Have patience.
Kentucky isn't due till early next year or so.
You should now place your predictions on Southern New England.

Southern New England, eh? Hmm... Boston (Suffolk IIRC) is pretty much always the most Democratic county in MA (maybe Berkshire beats it some years?)... most Republican would have to be either Plymouth or Barnstable. Ages ago it would have been Frankin IIRC
Most GOP in CT would be Litchfield (maybe Fairfield some years?)... most Dem would be Hartford.
For RI most Dem would be Providence. Most GOP... Washington or Kent.

I meant to say Elliot or Knott, BTW
Almost always Jackson is incorrect. It's always Jackson.
Almost always Elliot [sic] is also incorrect. So is almost always Elliot [sic] or Knott. It's always Elliott or Knott.
60-68 Knott
72 Elliott
76, 80 Knott
84, 88 Elliott
92-00 Knott
04 Elliott
Smiley

Jackson, Elliott. Yeah, despite the minefield collapse and all.
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #76 on: January 15, 2005, 07:04:42 AM »

Haha :-)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #77 on: January 15, 2005, 07:23:43 AM »
« Edited: December 02, 2008, 01:45:25 PM by Farack Abu Mawusi »

Tennessee
Most Dem
1960 Lincoln
1964 Trousdale
1968 Trousdale
1972 Stewart
1976 Jackson
1980 Grundy
1984 Houston
1988 Grundy

Most Rep
1988 Sevier
1992 Johnson
1996 Williamson
2000 Bradley
2004 Williamson

That was leaving the boring parts out.
The boring parts are
Most Dem
92-04 Jackson
Most Rep
60-84 Johnson

2008 Dem: Shelby, Rep: Bradley
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #78 on: January 15, 2005, 07:46:18 AM »

Forgot to mention that Wallace's best TN result was in Crockett County.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #79 on: January 15, 2005, 07:48:09 AM »
« Edited: December 02, 2008, 01:46:30 PM by Farack Abu Mawusi »

'Bama (Anybody here seen True Romance, btw?)
Most Dem
60 Crenshaw
64, 68 Macon
72 Greene
76 Lawrence
80- Macon

2008 Macon

Most Rep
60 Winston
64 Wilcox
68 Winston
72 Clay
76, 80 Baldwin
84-00 Shelby
04 Blount

2008 Blount

Most AmInd
68 Geneva
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #80 on: January 15, 2005, 08:33:55 AM »
« Edited: December 02, 2008, 01:49:58 PM by Farack Abu Mawusi »

Mississippi (I'll do the last four sometime next week)
Dem
60 Alcorn
64 Hancock
68 Jefferson
72 Claiborne
76-00 Jefferson
04 Claiborne
Claiborne and Jefferson are neighboring counties in SW Mississippi.

2008 Jefferson

Rep
60 Lowndes
64 Holmes (just eight years later, Holmes was one of three counties in the state to vote for George McGovern)
68 Washington
72 George
76 Rankin
80 Rankin
84 Lamar
88-00 Rankin
04 Lamar

1960 Independent Electors: Amite
1968 Wallace: George (Nixon's best four years later)

2008 George.
Total vote cast:
1948 192K
1952 286K
1956 248K
1960 298K despite the three-way competition
1964 409K...this surprised me. The results always made me believe that Black voting was still well-nigh nonexistent in Mississippi in 1964...so why would so many Whites vote?
1968 655K That's with the Blacks voting. Patterns already look a lot like what they have looked like since.
1972 didn't take the figure down, but slight drop
1976 769K
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jimrtex
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« Reply #81 on: January 15, 2005, 02:00:37 PM »

Anyone know if thats the same Kosciusko as the one the mountain is named after here in Australia?
Yes.  Taduesz Kosciuszko (English Thaddeus Kosciusko) like the Marquis de La Fayette, Casimir Pulaski, and Baron von Steuben, was a young European who served in the Continental Army during the American Revolution, and rose to high rank and importance.  Indiana has not only a Kosciuszko County, but Steuben and Pulaski counties, and the city of Lafayette.

After the American Revolution, Kosciuszko returned to Poland where he led the uprising against the Prussians and Russians.  The mountain in Australia was named by the Polish explorer Paul Strzelecki.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #82 on: January 15, 2005, 03:37:50 PM »

Georgia

Now, this part:
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needless to say piqued my interest...

Long County GA
located in the Southeastern portion of the state
population 10,800 in 2000
6,200 in 1990
4,500 in 1980
65% non-hispanic White, 24% Black, 8% Hispanic in 2000, 22% Black, 3% Hispanic in 1990. Very young (and growing younger) population. More or less average income, average rate of highschool dropouts among adult populace, but VERY low rate of college graduates (5.7% of the adult population).
This doesn't really help us...it means that whatever was special about Long county once is getting et up by Savannah exurbia now.

Election results:
1960 Nixon 76% Kennedy 24% (while Kennedy easily won the state) 1176 votes
1964 Johnson 84% Goldwater 16% (while Goldwater easily won the state) 1582 votes
WHY?WHY?WHY? Old Unionist enclave or wtf? At first I thought it might have been Blacks already voting in 1960 (and forming a majority of the population) but I've dismissed that idea now.
1968 Wallace 59% Humphrey 32% Nixon 9% (Nixon very weak, Wallace and Humphrey both overaverage, but this is not out of the ordinary really) 1767 votes
1972 Nixon 76% McGovern 24% (basically in line with Georgia state result, but:) exactly 1000 votes. Note the decline.
1976 Carter 73% Ford 27% or a few points more Dem than the state, a pattern that returns from 1984 to 1996. 1465 votes
1980 Carter 69% Reagan 30% 1741 votes (very strong Dem, but not that unusual in Georgia)
1984 Reagan 57% Mondale 43% 1915 votes
1988 Reagan 55% Dukakis 44% 1551 votes - another big drop
1992 Clinton 45% Dole 37% Perot 18% 1957 votes
1996 Clinton 48% Dole 40% Perot 12% 1972 votes
2000 Bush 57% Gore 42% 2314 votes, a new record although still representing very low turnout. Result more or less in line with state result
2004 you should be able to guess it from what you've heard about what kind of place Bush's MoV came from...
Bush 66% Kerry 34% 3039 votes.
Suburban Fort Stewart.  Hinesville in neighboring Liberty County is the main off-base town, and it appears to be relatively populated southward along US 84 into Long County.  Ft Stewart also includes the northern corner of Long County and there appears to be some off-base population in the adjacent area.

The second tier counties have had some population increases in the past few decades that suggest perhaps retirees who can't afford the sea islands.

I think the 1960 result may be a data error.  Compare the turnout in 1956 to 1960.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #83 on: January 15, 2005, 03:43:22 PM »

Florida
Most Dem
1960 Baker
Most Rep
2004 Baker
Went from most Dem to most Rep, that one - although, looking at the 1960 Florida map, the surprising thing is it didn't happen soone.r
There is probably a suburban effect from Jax as well.
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nclib
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« Reply #84 on: January 15, 2005, 06:17:49 PM »

North Carolina
Most Dem
1960 Martin
64, 68 Northampton
72 Orange
76 Robeson
80 Hoke
84 Northampton
88, 92 Warren
86 Northampton
00 Hertford
04 Durham. Seems like in NC, it's the Dem who can't sit still...


Yes, alternating between the minority counties in the northeast and southeast of N.C. and the urbanized, "Northernized", counties of Orange and Durham.

BTW, where was Wallace's best showing?
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #85 on: January 16, 2005, 07:50:51 AM »

North Carolina
Most Dem
1960 Martin
64, 68 Northampton
72 Orange
76 Robeson
80 Hoke
84 Northampton
88, 92 Warren
86 Northampton
00 Hertford
04 Durham. Seems like in NC, it's the Dem who can't sit still...


Yes, alternating between the minority counties in the northeast and southeast of N.C. and the urbanized, "Northernized", counties of Orange and Durham.

BTW, where was Wallace's best showing?
Currituck.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #86 on: January 16, 2005, 07:52:20 AM »
« Edited: December 02, 2008, 01:52:07 PM by Farack Abu Mawusi »

Arkansas
Most Dem
1960 Calhoun
1964 Izard
1968 Chicot
1972 Conway
1976 Lincoln
1980 Clark
1984 Chicot
1988 Woodruff
1992 Woodruff
1996 Lee
2000 Lee
2004 Woodruff

2008 Phillips

Most Rep
1960 Searcy
1964 Sebastian
1968 Searcy
1972 Crawford
1976 Newton
1980 Crawford
1984- Benton

2008 Grant.

Wallace: Cleveland
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #87 on: January 16, 2005, 09:34:26 AM »
« Edited: December 02, 2008, 01:53:18 PM by Farack Abu Mawusi »

Louisiana
Most Dem
1960 Cameron
1964 Saint James
1968 West Feliciana
1972 East Carroll (although W Feliciana was the only parish carried by McGovern)
1976 Cameron
1980 Iberville
1984- Orleans

2008 Orleans

Most Rep
1960 La Salle
1964 Tensas
1968 Lafayette
1972 Plaquemines
1976 Plaquemines
1980 Jefferson
1984 La Salle
1988 La Salle
1992 Saint Tammany
1996 Saint Tammany
2000 La Salle
2004 La Salle

2008 La Salle

1960 Unpledged: Plaquemines
1968 Wallace: Livingston

Re 1964: Tensas and Saint James both have strong black populations...the difference is that in Southern Louisiana Blacks voted by 1964, and indeed - so it would appear - 1960, while things took longer in the North.

Also, see the Plaquemines thread.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #88 on: January 16, 2005, 10:08:17 AM »
« Edited: December 02, 2008, 01:55:13 PM by Farack Abu Mawusi »

Oklahoma

Dig this: In the last eight elections, eight different counties produced the Dems' top results.

Most Dem
1960 Love
1964-72 Jefferson
76 Atoka
80 Bryan
84 Hughes
88 Jefferson
92 Haskell
96 Choctaw
00 Okmulgee
04 McIntosh

2008: Dig this. In the last eight nine elections, eight nine different counties produced the Dems' top results.
 
08: Cherokee

Most Rep
60-72 Major
76 Washington
80 Major
84. 88 Texas
92- Beaver

08 Beaver
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #89 on: January 16, 2005, 10:57:19 AM »

Somebody else do Texas.
Or maybe we force them to retroactively abolish half their counties.
I did this much yet:
     Dem    Rep
92 Starr   Hansford
96 Starr   Ochiltree
00 Duval  Glasscock
04 Zavala Ochiltree
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #90 on: January 16, 2005, 11:47:07 AM »
« Edited: December 02, 2008, 01:57:21 PM by Farack Abu Mawusi »

     Dem    Rep
60 Starr   Ochiltree
64 Duval  Ochiltree
68 Duval  Gillespie
72 Duval  Ochiltree
76 Starr   Gillespie
80 Duval  Ochiltree
84 Zavala Hansford
88 Starr   Ochiltree
92 Starr   Hansford
96 Starr   Ochiltree
00 Duval  Glasscock
04 Zavala Ochiltree

08 Starr    King

And now for a real shocker - While most of Wallace's good results were in Far East Texas where you'd expect them, his single best result (49.1%) was in Loving County.
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nclib
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« Reply #91 on: January 16, 2005, 02:25:09 PM »

I think Loving County is one of the smallest counties in the entire country (or at least it is now).
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #92 on: January 16, 2005, 02:39:55 PM »

I think Loving County is one of the smallest counties in the entire country (or at least it is now).

In 2000 more votes were cast for George W Bush in Loving than people live in Loving...
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #93 on: January 17, 2005, 04:12:36 AM »

I think Loving County is one of the smallest counties in the entire country (or at least it is now).
I know that. It was tiny back then, too.
But in many surrounding counties, Wallace was a non-presence, so this was surprising.
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Alcon
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« Reply #94 on: January 17, 2005, 04:22:11 AM »

I think Loving County is one of the smallest counties in the entire country (or at least it is now).

In 2000 more votes were cast for George W Bush in Loving than people live in Loving...

Loving County has some interesting results, to say the least. The turnout amoung the population overall (registered, of age, and otherwise) was 129% this year relative to a staggering 240% in 2000. Interestingly, it was seemingly sane in 1996 at only 55%. The 1992 result was a bit odd with a turnout of 90%. At least they got it right in 1996...

They seriously need a better county auditor. Then again, their county auditor is probably Buck, who owns the local truck stop.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #95 on: January 17, 2005, 04:27:30 AM »

I guess there's lots of people who once lived there and are still registered there. Some of them might still own property there, might vacation there etc.
Still, they do need to clean up their voter register, and IIRC they tried after 2000.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #96 on: January 22, 2005, 02:10:48 PM »

I used to live in El Paso and Loving County is in the same congressional district. If I recall correctly Loving County is totally within one ranch so the entire county is privately owned. I would think many odd things could happen there if that is true.
Well, you must have been living far on the outskirts of El Paso then.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #97 on: January 24, 2005, 12:57:24 AM »

Oklahoma

Dig this: In the last eight elections, eight different counties produced the Dems' top results.

Most Dem
1960 Love
1964-72 Jefferson
76 Atoka
80 Bryan
84 Hughes
88 Jefferson
92 Haskell
96 Choctaw
00 Okmulgee
04 McIntosh
All in Little Dixie except Okmulgee.  I used to live in Tulsa, and it was a remarkable event in the early 1970s when there was at least one registered Republican in every county in the state.  Jefferson may have been the last holdout.

Quote
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Whereas the wheat growing areas of the northern part of the state are just like Kansas.  The county seat of Washington is Bartlesville, which was the HQ of Phillips 66, and whose residents are known as Bartians.
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jimrtex
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« Reply #98 on: January 24, 2005, 01:50:16 AM »

I used to live in El Paso and Loving County is in the same congressional district. If I recall correctly Loving County is totally within one ranch so the entire county is privately owned. I would think many odd things could happen there if that is true.
Well, you must have been living far on the outskirts of El Paso then.
Most of Kenedy County is in the King Ranch, and there was a county west of Wichita Falls that was mostly in one ranch (but this was broken up recently).  The XIT Ranch used to cover several counties in the western Panhandle.

Under the 1990s redistricting, 23 extended into the city of El Paso.  Under the 2001 and 2003 plans this was cut back as the portion of El Paso County in 23 decreased from 58,000 to 28,000.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #99 on: December 02, 2008, 11:48:48 AM »

Bump for nclib who asked fot it. I hope this is the thread you meant.
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