UK General Election, 2017 - Election Day and Results Thread

[Zanas]

A lot of 2015 UKIP vote seems to flow to Labour instead of Tories like everyone just assumed.

[Zanas]

A lot of 2015 UKIP vote seems to flow to Labour instead of Tories like everyone just assumed.

many of them were 2010 Lab voters

I know that but the general assumption was that they were lost for the cause. They seem to have come back home.

[Zanas]

So what are our takeaways from this?

Mine are:

1. Hubris is still as powerful a force in human affairs as ever.
2. Muh fundamentals are overrated. Campaigns matter.

3. People just won't vote like the media tell them they are going to vote at the beginning of a campaign anymore.

[Zanas]

Lib Dems have yet to win a single constituency...

[Zanas]

At this rate, I wouldn't be surprised to see the SNP below 30 seats !

[Zanas]

Britain elects say it seems Rudd lost her Hastings seat.

[Zanas]

Frankly, I can see Lib Dems only hanging on to Westmoreland, Orkney & Shetland, that seat they gained somehow in Scotland (East Dunbartonshire) and not much else.

[Zanas]

Recount in Peterborough.

[Zanas]

Lab takes Peterborough.

[Zanas]

With the kind of swing from SDLP to Sinn Fein seen in the two seats SF gained (South Down and Foyle), I wonder if Belfast South is also in play ! Which would put SF at 6 seats.

[Zanas]

NI looks like it will end with 10 DUP, 7 SF and the one Independent. She's a unionist IIRC, but would she prop up a Con government ?

[Zanas]

Lab and Con now tied in the popular vote.

[Zanas]

That's it all of NI is called with SF gaining Fermanagh & South Tyrone from UUP. UUP wiped out, SDLP wiped out.

[Zanas]

To me, the story of tonight is epitomized in seats like Lincoln, Ipswich and Peterborough.

[Zanas]

PROJECTED VOTE SHARE: CON+3

CON 43 (6)
LAB 40 (10)
LD 8 (0.1)
UKIP 2 (-11)
GRN 2 (-2)

SURVATION GETS IT RIGHT AGAIN!

Talk about vote utile !

I'll just leave these here :

You must be logged in to read this quote.

You must be logged in to read this quote.

[Zanas]

It's awfully strange that the pacifist socialist was able to win back UKIP voters.

Not if you understand politics, tbh.

[Zanas]

Lib Dems gain Tewkesbury from Conservatives

No that seems to be a mistake, would need a MASSIVE swing.

[Zanas]

Any news on Ceredigion ? Has it been recounting all that time ?

[Zanas]

The Labour firewall was strong. The Lib Dems haven't gained any of Labour's seats, only the Tories managed to do so, 5 times as of yet.

[Zanas]

Sky News, The Telegraph, and The Independent are saying Lib Dems gained Tewkesbury from the Tories.

The BBC has it held with 60% Tory vs 21% Labour.

[Zanas]

LD gain tewkesbury

No they don't :

CON Conservative    60.0
LAB Labour    21.8
LD Liberal Democrat    13.5
GRN Green Party    2.7
UKIP UKIP    2.0

[Zanas]

Is Richmond Park a strong Lib Dem area?

Well it's a good LibDem area, but also a very strong Tory area.

[Zanas]

The first election since 1997 where Labour gets a net gain of seats !

[Zanas]

The whole border between Eire and NI is now located in Sinn Fein held seats.